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St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Canisius Golden Griffins prediction, odds and picks, November 7, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

St. Bonaventure Bonnies or Canisius Golden Griffins: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Golden Griffins▲ Hop on▼ Jump off

Axle 51–49Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: CAN 49%
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Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 7 at 7:00 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Canisius Golden Griffins win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Canisius Golden Griffins live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Canisius Golden Griffins team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSBUCAN
ScoreSBU–CAN–
Average win probabilitySBU–CAN–
Longest scoring runSBU–CAN–
Time leadingSBU–CAN–

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Canisius Golden Griffins odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 3 h ago
Bonnies51%
Win chance
Golden Griffins49%
SpreadCAN −1
Total146.5
Moneyline−104away / +104homeaway / home
Line movementCAN win chance, 38 stored lines
−16 pts for CAN since Oct 29
71%38%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: CAN 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: CAN 44%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: CAN 44%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: CAN 44%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: CAN 49%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: CAN 52%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: CAN 52%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: CAN 52%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: CAN 52%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET: CAN 49%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: CAN 49%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: CAN 49%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: CAN 49%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: CAN 49%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: CAN 49%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: CAN 49%Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET: CAN 49%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredCAN winMove
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET49%0
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET49%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET49%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET49%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET49%0
Nov 3, 10:23 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 10:08 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 10:03 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 9:33 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET49%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET49%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET49%0
Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET49%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 10:46 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 10:03 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET49%−3
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET52%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET52%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET52%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET52%+3
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET49%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET49%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET49%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET49%+5
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET44%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET44%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET44%−21
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
CAN 1371 · SBU 1484
Home spread
−1
Stored
Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BonniesGolden Griffins
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Golden Griffins–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

St. Bonaventure Bonnies vs Canisius Golden Griffins prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 49% for the Golden Griffins. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Golden Griffins 1371 (341st of 361), Bonnies 1484 (204th). The Golden Griffins are 0-1; the Bonnies are 0-1. The Golden Griffins have won 2 of their last 5; the Bonnies 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Golden Griffins won 2, the Bonnies 2.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

St. Bonaventure Bonnies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Youngstown State PenguinsL 71–79––matchup
at Dayton FlyersL 63–68––matchup
at George Mason PatriotsW 63–57––matchup
at La Salle ExplorersW 99–80––matchup
vs Davidson WildcatsL 63–68––matchup

Canisius Golden Griffins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Penn State Nittany LionsL 57–97––matchup
vs Quinnipiac BobcatsL 63–67––matchup
vs Merrimack WarriorsW 67–62––matchup
at Mount St. Mary's MountaineersL 47–68––matchup
at Rider BroncsW 72–66––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Canisius Golden Griffins at St. Bonaventure Bonnies70–89––matchup
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Canisius Golden Griffins87–78––matchup
Canisius Golden Griffins at St. Bonaventure Bonnies70–67––matchup
St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Canisius Golden Griffins80–84––matchup

Injuries

St. Bonaventure Bonnies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Canisius Golden Griffins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bonnies0-1 14th · L1
  • Bonnies rating1484 204th of 361, 1 games
  • Golden Griffins0-1 3rd · L1
  • Golden Griffins rating1371 341st of 361, 1 games

St. Bonaventure Bonnies 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 14th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SBUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SBUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SBUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SBUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Bonaventure Bonnies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bonnies roster, schedule and more

Canisius Golden Griffins 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CANMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CANMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Canisius Golden Griffins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Golden Griffins roster, schedule and more

Takes on St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Canisius Golden Griffins

Sign in to post a take on $SBUMBBCANMBB261108: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: even. Projected score Canisius 74, St. Bonaventure 73; spread Canisius −1, total 146.5. St. Bonaventure Bonnies at Canisius Golden Griffins, Sat, Nov 7, 7:00 PM ET.