Canisius Golden Griffins vs Penn State Nittany Lions: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreCanisius 57, Penn State 97 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerPenn State 72%
- Pregame Projected scorePenn State 76, Canisius 69
- Model spreadPenn State −7.5 total 145.5
- Margin40 projected 7.3
- Total154 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Canisius Golden Griffins or Penn State Nittany Lions: the bandwagon
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Axle 28–72Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAN | 26 | 31 | 57 |
| PSU | 47 | 49 | 97 |
Canisius Golden Griffins at Penn State Nittany Lions win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Canisius Golden Griffins vs Penn State Nittany Lions live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CAN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | CAN24/61 | PSU36/65 |
| 3-pointers | CAN4/22 | PSU4/19 |
| Free throws | CAN5/9 | PSU21/29 |
| Rebounds | CAN28 | PSU45 |
| Assists | CAN12 | PSU20 |
| Turnovers | CAN17 | PSU10 |
| Steals | CAN6 | PSU10 |
| Blocks | CAN1 | PSU4 |
| Points in the paint | CAN32 | PSU60 |
| Fast-break points | CAN6 | PSU16 |
| Fouls | CAN23 | PSU18 |
| Largest lead | CAN0 | PSU42 |
Canisius Golden Griffins vs Penn State Nittany Lions team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CAN | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CAN57 | PSU97 |
| Average win probability | CAN11% | PSU89% |
| Longest scoring run | CAN+1 | PSU+6 |
| Time leading | CAN0:00 | PSU9:22 |
Canisius Golden Griffins vs Penn State Nittany Lions odds
Every stored line
| Stored | PSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 72% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 74% | +9 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- PSU 1438 · CAN 1388
- Home spread
- −7.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:36 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Canisius Golden Griffins 57, Penn State Nittany Lions 97. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Canisius Golden Griffins vs Penn State Nittany Lions prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Nittany Lions a 7.5-point favorite at home, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Nittany Lions 1456 (248th of 361), Golden Griffins 1371 (341st). The Nittany Lions are 1-0; the Golden Griffins are 0-1. The Nittany Lions have won 2 of their last 5; the Golden Griffins 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Nittany Lions won 1, the Golden Griffins 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Canisius Golden Griffins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Penn State Nittany Lions | L 57–97 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | L 63–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Merrimack Warriors | W 67–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | L 47–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rider Broncs | W 72–66 | – | – | matchup |
Penn State Nittany Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Canisius Golden Griffins | W 97–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northwestern Wildcats | L 66–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | L 62–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ohio State Buckeyes | L 62–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa Hawkeyes | W 71–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Canisius Golden Griffins at Penn State Nittany Lions | 67–97 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Canisius Golden Griffins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Penn State Nittany Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Golden Griffins0-1 3rd · L1
- Golden Griffins rating1371 341st of 361, 1 games
- Nittany Lions1-0 11th · W1
- Nittany Lions rating1456 248th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $CANMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Canisius Golden Griffins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 11th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $PSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Penn State Nittany Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Canisius 57, Penn State 97. Bandwagon's model had the Penn State at 72% and projected Penn State 76, Canisius 69; spread Penn State −7.5, total 145.5.