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Axle 2.078% straight up465 games
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Capital One Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Maryland Terrapins vs Georgetown Hoyas prediction, odds and picks, November 7, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Maryland Terrapins or Georgetown Hoyas: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 32–68Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: GTWN 68%
Record 1-0
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 7 at 7:30 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
–

Maryland Terrapins at Georgetown Hoyas win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Maryland Terrapins vs Georgetown Hoyas live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Maryland Terrapins vs Georgetown Hoyas team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMDGTWN
ScoreMD–GTWN–
Average win probabilityMD–GTWN–
Longest scoring runMD–GTWN–
Time leadingMD–GTWN–

Maryland Terrapins vs Georgetown Hoyas odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 5 h ago
Terrapins32%
Win chance
Hoyas68%
SpreadGTWN −6
Total146.5
Moneyline+212away / −212homeaway / home
Line movementGTWN win chance, 30 stored lines
+3 pts for GTWN since Oct 29
75%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: GTWN 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: GTWN 69%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: GTWN 69%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: GTWN 69%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: GTWN 69%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: GTWN 69%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: GTWN 68%Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET: GTWN 68%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredGTWN winMove
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET68%0
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET68%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET68%0
Nov 4, 9:40 PM ET68%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET68%0
Nov 4, 12:20 AM ET68%0
Nov 4, 12:10 AM ET68%0
Nov 3, 9:23 PM ET68%0
Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET68%0
Nov 3, 8:03 PM ET68%0
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET68%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET68%0
Nov 3, 12:19 AM ET68%0
Nov 3, 12:05 AM ET68%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET68%−1
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET69%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET69%+1
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET68%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET68%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET68%−1
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET69%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET69%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET69%+4
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
GTWN 1521 · MD 1502
Home spread
−6
Stored
Nov 4, 11:01 PM ET · 2026-11-05 04:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TerrapinsHoyas
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Hoyas–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Maryland Terrapins vs Georgetown Hoyas prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Hoyas a 6-point favorite at home, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Hoyas 1521 (140th of 361), Terrapins 1502 (174th). The Hoyas are 1-0; the Terrapins are 1-0. The Hoyas have won 4 of their last 5; the Terrapins 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Hoyas won 1, the Terrapins 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Maryland Terrapins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Bucknell BisonW 96–67––matchup
at Iowa HawkeyesL 64–75––matchup
at Oregon DucksW 70–60––matchup
vs Illinois Fighting IlliniL 72–78––matchup
at Wisconsin BadgersL 45–78––matchup

Georgetown Hoyas

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Loyola Maryland GreyhoundsW 80–58––matchup
at UConn HuskiesL 51–67––matchup
at Villanova WildcatsW 78–64––matchup
at DePaul Blue DemonsW 63–56––matchup
vs Providence FriarsW 80–79––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Georgetown Hoyas at Maryland Terrapins70–60––matchup

Injuries

Maryland Terrapins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Georgetown Hoyas: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Terrapins1-0 4th · W1
  • Terrapins rating1502 174th of 361, 1 games
  • Hoyas1-0 4th · W1
  • Hoyas rating1521 140th of 361, 1 games

Maryland Terrapins 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Maryland Terrapins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Terrapins roster, schedule and more

Georgetown Hoyas 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GTWNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GTWNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GTWNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $GTWNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgetown Hoyas bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Hoyas roster, schedule and more

Takes on Maryland Terrapins at Georgetown Hoyas

Sign in to post a take on $MDMBBGTWNMBB261108: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.

Model: Georgetown 68% to win. Projected score Georgetown 76, Maryland 70; spread Georgetown −6, total 146.5. Maryland Terrapins at Georgetown Hoyas, Sat, Nov 7, 7:30 PM ET.