Georgetown leads Loyola Maryland 27-15 with 6:50 left in the 1st, a 12-point margin for the Hoyas. The model gives Georgetown a 76% chance, and no crowd picks are in yet. Jordan Reyes
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Capital One Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Georgetown Hoyas: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreLoyola Maryland 58, Georgetown 80 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerGeorgetown 76%
- Pregame Projected scoreGeorgetown 77, Loyola Maryland 68
- Model spreadGeorgetown −8.5 total 145.5
- Margin22 projected 8.7
- Total138 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds or Georgetown Hoyas: the bandwagon
Axle 24–76Market –
FinalPregame: GTWN 76%Baseline: GTWN 96.9% (+21.1)Big swing: 18.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| L-MD | 20 | 38 | 58 |
| GTWN | 44 | 36 | 80 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Georgetown Hoyas win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for GTWN over the last 5:00
Big swing18.9 ptstoward GTWN at 4:10 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineGTWN 96.9%game average, +21.1 points from the pregame 75.9%
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Georgetown Hoyas live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | L-MD | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | L-MD24/63 | GTWN29/63 |
| 3-pointers | L-MD10/28 | GTWN7/26 |
| Free throws | L-MD0/2 | GTWN15/17 |
| Rebounds | L-MD35 | GTWN38 |
| Assists | L-MD17 | GTWN18 |
| Turnovers | L-MD14 | GTWN8 |
| Steals | L-MD2 | GTWN7 |
| Blocks | L-MD3 | GTWN2 |
| Points in the paint | L-MD28 | GTWN40 |
| Fast-break points | L-MD11 | GTWN8 |
| Fouls | L-MD20 | GTWN11 |
| Largest lead | L-MD0 | GTWN31 |
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Georgetown Hoyas team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | L-MD | GTWN |
|---|---|---|
| Score | L-MD58 | GTWN80 |
| Average win probability | L-MD3% | GTWN97% |
| Longest scoring run | L-MD+11 | GTWN+14 |
| Time leading | L-MD0:00 | GTWN35:29 |
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Georgetown Hoyas odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET
Greyhounds24%
Win chanceHoyas76%
SpreadGTWN −8.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+315away / −315homeaway / home
Line movementGTWN win chance, 9 stored lines
+11 pts for GTWN between Oct 29 and Nov 2
84%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | GTWN win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 79% | +14 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- GTWN 1509 · L-MD 1424
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Loyola Maryland Greyhounds 58, Georgetown Hoyas 80. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
GreyhoundsHoyas
Neutrals only–
GreyhoundsHoyas
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Hoyas–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds vs Georgetown Hoyas prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hoyas a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Hoyas 1521 (140th of 361), Greyhounds 1412 (304th). The Hoyas are 1-0; the Greyhounds are 0-1. The Hoyas have won 4 of their last 5; the Greyhounds 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgetown Hoyas | L 58–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colgate Raiders | L 77–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Holy Cross Crusaders | W 76–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | L 51–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colgate Raiders | L 98–101 | – | – | matchup |
Georgetown Hoyas
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Loyola Maryland Greyhounds | W 80–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UConn Huskies | L 51–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Villanova Wildcats | W 78–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| at DePaul Blue Demons | W 63–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Providence Friars | W 80–79 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Loyola Maryland Greyhounds: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgetown Hoyas: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Greyhounds0-1 9th · L1
- Greyhounds rating1412 304th of 361, 1 games
- Hoyas1-0 4th · W1
- Hoyas rating1521 140th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LMDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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No stances yet today on $LMDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Loyola Maryland Greyhounds bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Georgetown Hoyas 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GTWNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GTWNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GTWNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $GTWNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgetown Hoyas bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Loyola Maryland Greyhounds at Georgetown Hoyas
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Final: Loyola Maryland 58, Georgetown 80. Bandwagon's model had the Georgetown at 76% and projected Georgetown 77, Loyola Maryland 68; spread Georgetown −8.5, total 145.5.