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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Xfinity Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Bucknell Bison vs Maryland Terrapins: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Bucknell Bison or Maryland Terrapins: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 23–77Market –

FinalPregame: MD 77%Baseline: MD 90.6% (+13.6)Big swing: 9.7 ptsClutch window: none
Record 0-1
67+3796+52
Record 1-0
Score by period
Team12T
BUCK303767
MD445296
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Bucknell Bison at Maryland Terrapins win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for MD: 57 points, 77% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00MD 100%BUCK 0%
Win probability for MD: 57 points, 77% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00MD 100%BUCK 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for MD over the last 5:00
Big swing9.7 ptstoward BUCK at 10:08 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineMD 90.6%game average, +13.6 points from the pregame 77.0%

Bucknell Bison vs Maryland Terrapins live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatBUCKMD
Field goalsBUCK23/53MD34/72
3-pointersBUCK12/31MD7/28
Free throwsBUCK9/14MD21/31
ReboundsBUCK22MD54
AssistsBUCK17MD11
TurnoversBUCK18MD13
StealsBUCK5MD9
BlocksBUCK1MD6
Points in the paintBUCK18MD54
Fast-break pointsBUCK11MD18
FoulsBUCK19MD17
Largest leadBUCK2MD29

Bucknell Bison vs Maryland Terrapins team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatBUCKMD
ScoreBUCK67MD96
Average win probabilityBUCK9%MD91%
Longest scoring runBUCK+5MD+8
Time leadingBUCK0:43MD28:26

Bucknell Bison vs Maryland Terrapins odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET
Bison23%
Win chance
Terrapins77%
SpreadMD −9closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+335away / −335homeaway / home
Line movementMD win chance, 12 stored lines
+12 pts for MD between Oct 29 and Nov 2
86%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MD 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MD 80%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MD 80%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MD 80%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MD 77%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MD 77%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: MD 77%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: MD 77%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: MD 77%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: MD 77%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MD 77%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: MD 77%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredMD winMove
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET77%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET77%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET77%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET77%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET80%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET80%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET80%+15
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
MD 1490 · BUCK 1394
Home spread
−9
Stored
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:01 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Bucknell Bison 67, Maryland Terrapins 96. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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BisonTerrapins
Neutrals only–
BisonTerrapins
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Terrapins–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Bucknell Bison vs Maryland Terrapins prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Terrapins a 9-point favorite at home, with a 77% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Terrapins 1502 (174th of 361), Bison 1381 (335th). The Terrapins are 1-0; the Bison are 0-1. The Terrapins have won 2 of their last 5; the Bison 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Terrapins won 1, the Bison 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Bucknell Bison

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Maryland TerrapinsL 67–96––matchup
at Navy MidshipmenL 69–74––matchup
vs Army Black KnightsW 65–55––matchup
at Lehigh Mountain HawksL 79–89––matchup
at Army Black KnightsW 75–73––matchup

Maryland Terrapins

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Bucknell BisonW 96–67––matchup
at Iowa HawkeyesL 64–75––matchup
at Oregon DucksW 70–60––matchup
vs Illinois Fighting IlliniL 72–78––matchup
at Wisconsin BadgersL 45–78––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Bucknell Bison at Maryland Terrapins67–91––matchup

Injuries

Bucknell Bison: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Maryland Terrapins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bison0-1 4th · L1
  • Bison rating1381 335th of 361, 1 games
  • Terrapins1-0 4th · W1
  • Terrapins rating1502 174th of 361, 1 games

Bucknell Bison 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak L1

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No stances yet today on $BUCKMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Bucknell Bison bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bison roster, schedule and more

Maryland Terrapins 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 4th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MDMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MDMBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MDMBB
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No stances yet today on $MDMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Maryland Terrapins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Terrapins roster, schedule and more

Takes on Bucknell Bison at Maryland Terrapins

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