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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Ryan Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams prediction, odds and picks, November 7, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Monmouth Hawks or Rhode Island Rams: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 49–51Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: URI 51%
Record 0-1
––
Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 7 at 4:00 PM ET
Situation
–
Possession
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Monmouth Hawks at Rhode Island Rams win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatMONMURI
ScoreMONM–URI–
Average win probabilityMONM–URI–
Longest scoring runMONM–URI–
Time leadingMONM–URI–

Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 2 h ago
Hawks49%
Win chance
Rams51%
SpreadURI −1.5
Total146.5
Moneyline+102away / −102homeaway / home
Line movementURI win chance, 36 stored lines
+1 pts for URI since Oct 29
56%32%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: URI 50%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: URI 38%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: URI 38%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: URI 38%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: URI 47%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: URI 47%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET: URI 48%Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET: URI 48%Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET: URI 48%Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET: URI 48%Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET: URI 51%Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET: URI 51%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: URI 51%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: URI 51%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: URI 51%
Oct 29Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredURI winMove
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET51%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET51%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:18 PM ET51%0
Nov 3, 9:03 PM ET51%+3
Nov 3, 5:03 AM ET48%0
Nov 3, 12:30 AM ET48%0
Nov 3, 12:15 AM ET48%0
Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET48%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET48%+1
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET47%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET47%0
Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET47%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET47%0
Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET47%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET47%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET47%+9
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET38%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET38%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET38%−12
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET50%—
Ratings
URI 1503 · MONM 1521
Home spread
−1.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
Stored
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

HawksRams
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Rams–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Monmouth Hawks vs Rhode Island Rams prediction

Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Rams. The model total is 146.5. Ratings: Rams 1503 (172nd of 361), Hawks 1521 (141st). The Rams are 1-0; the Hawks are 0-1. The Rams have won 2 of their last 5; the Hawks 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Monmouth Hawks

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at St. John's Red StormL 63–78––matchup
at Hofstra PrideL 69–75––matchup
vs Campbell Fighting CamelsW 74–64––matchup
vs Drexel DragonsW 65–57––matchup
at Northeastern HuskiesW 89–83––matchup

Rhode Island Rams

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Holy Cross CrusadersW 103–59––matchup
at Duquesne DukesL 61–67––matchup
at Fordham RamsL 49–61––matchup
vs Duquesne DukesW 64–52––matchup
vs Saint Joseph's HawksL 55–61––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Monmouth Hawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Rhode Island Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Hawks0-1 10th · L1
  • Hawks rating1521 141st of 361, 1 games
  • Rams1-0 7th · W1
  • Rams rating1503 172nd of 361, 1 games

Monmouth Hawks 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MONMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MONMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MONMMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MONMMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Monmouth Hawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Hawks roster, schedule and more

Rhode Island Rams 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $URIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $URIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $URIMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $URIMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rhode Island Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Rams roster, schedule and more

Takes on Monmouth Hawks at Rhode Island Rams

Sign in to post a take on $MONMMBBURIMBB261107: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: even. Projected score Rhode Island 74, Monmouth 73; spread Rhode Island −1.5, total 146.5. Monmouth Hawks at Rhode Island Rams, Sat, Nov 7, 4:00 PM ET.