Marist Red Foxes vs Army Black Knights prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026
- Projected winnerMarist 53%
- Model spreadArmy −0.5 total 143.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Marist Red Foxes or Army Black Knights: the bandwagon
Axle 53–47Market –
Marist Red Foxes at Army Black Knights win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Marist Red Foxes vs Army Black Knights live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Marist Red Foxes vs Army Black Knights team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | MRST | ARMY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MRST– | ARMY– |
| Average win probability | MRST– | ARMY– |
| Longest scoring run | MRST– | ARMY– |
| Time leading | MRST– | ARMY– |
Marist Red Foxes vs Army Black Knights odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ARMY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 9:05 PM ET | 47% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 47% | — |
- Ratings
- ARMY 1372 · MRST 1501
- Home spread
- −0.5
- Stored
- Nov 5, 12:11 AM ET · 2026-11-05 05:11 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Marist Red Foxes vs Army Black Knights prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Red Foxes the favorite, with a 53% chance to win; its spread is Black Knights −0.5. The model total is 143.5. Ratings: Black Knights 1372 (340th of 361), Red Foxes 1501 (176th). The Black Knights are 0-1; the Red Foxes are 0-1. The Black Knights have won 0 of their last 5; the Red Foxes 2 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Black Knights won 0, the Red Foxes 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Marist Red Foxes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Dartmouth Big Green | L 62–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Merrimack Warriors | L 57–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 77–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Peter's Peacocks | L 56–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacred Heart Pioneers | W 65–63 | – | – | matchup |
Army Black Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Duke Blue Devils | L 50–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bucknell Bison | L 55–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Lafayette Leopards | L 77–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Bucknell Bison | L 73–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Navy Midshipmen | L 63–81 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Army Black Knights at Marist Red Foxes | 65–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| Army Black Knights at Marist Red Foxes | 88–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| Marist Red Foxes at Army Black Knights | 71–55 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Marist Red Foxes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Army Black Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Red Foxes0-1 5th · L1
- Red Foxes rating1501 176th of 361, 1 games
- Black Knights0-1 3rd · L1
- Black Knights rating1372 340th of 361, 1 games
Marist Red Foxes 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $MRSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Marist Red Foxes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ARMYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Army Black Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Marist Red Foxes at Army Black Knights
Sign in to post a take on $MRSTMBBARMYMBB261117: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.