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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Arena-Auditorium · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Wyoming Cowboys prediction, odds and picks, November 17, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Sam Houston Bearkats or Wyoming Cowboys: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 38–62Market –

Scheduled · Pregame: WYO 62%
Record 0-1
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Record 1-0
Game clock
KickoffTuesday, November 17 at 8:30 PM ET
Situation
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Possession
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Sam Houston Bearkats at Wyoming Cowboys win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Wyoming Cowboys live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Wyoming Cowboys team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatSHSUWYO
ScoreSHSU–WYO–
Average win probabilitySHSU–WYO–
Longest scoring runSHSU–WYO–
Time leadingSHSU–WYO–

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Wyoming Cowboys odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 5 h ago
Bearkats38%
Win chance
Cowboys62%
SpreadWYO −4.5
Total145.5
Moneyline+165away / −165homeaway / home
Line movementWYO win chance, 4 stored lines
No move
68%57%
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: WYO 62%Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET: WYO 62%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: WYO 62%Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET: WYO 62%
Nov 4Now
Every stored line
StoredWYO winMove
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET62%0
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET62%0
Nov 4, 9:25 PM ET62%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET62%—
Ratings
WYO 1512 · SHSU 1536
Home spread
−4.5
Stored
Nov 4, 10:16 PM ET · 2026-11-05 03:16 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BearkatsCowboys
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Cowboys–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Sam Houston Bearkats vs Wyoming Cowboys prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Cowboys a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 62% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Cowboys 1512 (154th of 361), Bearkats 1536 (116th). The Cowboys are 1-0; the Bearkats are 0-1. The Cowboys have won 3 of their last 5; the Bearkats 1 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cowboys won 0, the Bearkats 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Sam Houston Bearkats

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Alabama Crimson TideL 74–96––matchup
at New Mexico LobosL 83–107––matchup
vs Kennesaw State OwlsL 73–79––matchup
vs New Mexico State AggiesW 69–61––matchup
at Liberty FlamesL 72–79––matchup

Wyoming Cowboys

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Wichita State ShockersL 70–74––matchup
at UNLV RebelsL 70–73––matchup
at San José State SpartansW 88–78––matchup
vs Nevada Wolf PackW 83–73––matchup
vs Air Force FalconsW 66–62––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Wyoming Cowboys at Sam Houston Bearkats70–78––matchup

Injuries

Sam Houston Bearkats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Wyoming Cowboys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Bearkats0-1 10th · L1
  • Bearkats rating1536 116th of 361, 1 games
  • Cowboys1-0 7th · W1
  • Cowboys rating1512 154th of 361, 0 games

Sam Houston Bearkats 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SHSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SHSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SHSUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $SHSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Sam Houston Bearkats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bearkats roster, schedule and more

Wyoming Cowboys 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WYOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WYOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WYOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WYOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wyoming Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cowboys roster, schedule and more

Takes on Sam Houston Bearkats at Wyoming Cowboys

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Model: Wyoming 62% to win. Projected score Wyoming 75, Sam Houston 70; spread Wyoming −4.5, total 145.5. Sam Houston Bearkats at Wyoming Cowboys, Tue, Nov 17, 8:30 PM ET.