Miami (OH) RedHawks lead James Madison Dukes 2-0 with 18:32 left in the 1st period, so the margin sits at -2 for the home side. The model has James Madison at 51%, a slight edge only.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Atlantic Union Bank Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs James Madison Dukes: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMiami (OH) 86, James Madison 77
- Pregame Projected winnereven
- Pregame Projected scoreJames Madison 73, Miami (OH) 72
- Model spreadJames Madison −1.5 total 145.5
- Margin9 projected 1.5
- Total163 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Miami (OH) RedHawks or James Madison Dukes: the bandwagon
Axle 49–51Market –
FinalPregame: JMU 51%Baseline: JMU 49.8% (−1.0)Big swing: 27.8 ptsClutch window: 11:37
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| M-OH | 35 | 51 | 86 |
| JMU | 41 | 36 | 77 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Miami (OH) RedHawks at James Madison Dukes win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to M-OH−15.9 points for JMU over the last 5:00
Big swing27.8 ptstoward M-OH at 33:31 of game time
Clutch window11:37within 5 points in the final half
BaselineJMU 49.8%game average, −1.0 points from the pregame 50.8%
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs James Madison Dukes live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | M-OH | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | M-OH31/68 | JMU27/70 |
| 3-pointers | M-OH8/24 | JMU14/34 |
| Free throws | M-OH16/17 | JMU9/16 |
| Rebounds | M-OH44 | JMU39 |
| Assists | M-OH15 | JMU13 |
| Turnovers | M-OH11 | JMU12 |
| Steals | M-OH10 | JMU6 |
| Blocks | M-OH4 | JMU2 |
| Points in the paint | M-OH46 | JMU24 |
| Fast-break points | M-OH18 | JMU5 |
| Fouls | M-OH16 | JMU19 |
| Largest lead | M-OH13 | JMU9 |
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs James Madison Dukes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | M-OH | JMU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | M-OH86 | JMU77 |
| Average win probability | M-OH50% | JMU50% |
| Longest scoring run | M-OH+13 | JMU+9 |
| Time leading | M-OH17:51 | JMU18:17 |
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs James Madison Dukes odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET
RedHawks49%
Win chanceDukes51%
SpreadJMU −1.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+103away / −103homeaway / home
Line movementJMU win chance, 16 stored lines
−14 pts for JMU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
71%41%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | JMU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 51% | +5 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 46% | −19 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- JMU 1523 · M-OH 1626
- Home spread
- −1.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:01 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Miami (OH) RedHawks 86, James Madison Dukes 77. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
RedHawksDukes
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RedHawksDukes
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Dukes–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Miami (OH) RedHawks vs James Madison Dukes prediction
Bandwagon's model has this one even: 51% for the Dukes. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Dukes 1506 (166th of 361), RedHawks 1642 (24th). The Dukes are 0-0; the RedHawks are 0-0. The Dukes have won 2 of their last 5; the RedHawks 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Miami (OH) RedHawks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at James Madison Dukes | W 86–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Tennessee Volunteers | L 56–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at SMU Mustangs | W 89–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Massachusetts Minutemen | L 83–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Ohio Bobcats | W 110–108 | – | – | matchup |
James Madison Dukes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 77–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Southern Miss Golden Eagles | L 80–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | W 87–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 68–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | W 82–66 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Miami (OH) RedHawks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
James Madison Dukes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- RedHawks0-0 9th · -
- RedHawks rating1642 24th of 361, 1 games
- Dukes0-0 6th · -
- Dukes rating1506 166th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 9th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MOHMBB
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No stances yet today on $MOHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Miami (OH) RedHawks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak -
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $JMUMBB
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $JMUMBB
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No stances yet today on $JMUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the James Madison Dukes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Miami (OH) RedHawks at James Madison Dukes
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Final: Miami (OH) 86, James Madison 77. Bandwagon's model had it even and projected James Madison 73, Miami (OH) 72; spread James Madison −1.5, total 145.5.