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Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Mississippi State Bulldogs: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles or Mississippi State Bulldogs: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 26–74Market –

FinalPregame: MSST 74%Baseline: MSST 90.8% (+17.2)Big swing: 12.1 ptsClutch window: none
88+51106+53
Score by period
Team12T
TNTC375188
MSST5353106
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Mississippi State Bulldogs win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for MSST: 167 points, 74% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00MSST 100%TNTC 0%
Win probability for MSST: 167 points, 74% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00MSST 100%TNTC 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for MSST over the last 5:00
Big swing12.1 ptstoward TNTC at 12:20 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineMSST 90.8%game average, +17.2 points from the pregame 73.6%

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Mississippi State Bulldogs live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatTNTCMSST
Field goalsTNTC32/66MSST35/60
3-pointersTNTC9/32MSST12/24
Free throwsTNTC15/20MSST24/32
ReboundsTNTC26MSST39
AssistsTNTC14MSST23
TurnoversTNTC12MSST15
StealsTNTC10MSST7
BlocksTNTC1MSST5
Points in the paintTNTC46MSST46
Fast-break pointsTNTC20MSST13
FoulsTNTC20MSST19
Largest leadTNTC2MSST22

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Mississippi State Bulldogs team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatTNTCMSST
ScoreTNTC88MSST106
Average win probabilityTNTC9%MSST91%
Longest scoring runTNTC+8MSST+9
Time leadingTNTC1:45MSST35:41

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Mississippi State Bulldogs odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET
Golden Eagles26%
Win chance
Bulldogs74%
SpreadMSST −8closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+280away / −280homeaway / home
Line movementMSST win chance, 14 stored lines
+9 pts for MSST between Oct 29 and Nov 2
82%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: MSST 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: MSST 76%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: MSST 76%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: MSST 76%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: MSST 74%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: MSST 74%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredMSST winMove
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET74%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET74%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET74%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET76%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET76%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET76%+11
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
MSST 1490 · TNTC 1425
Home spread
−8
Stored
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:36 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 88, Mississippi State Bulldogs 106. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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Golden EaglesBulldogs
Neutrals only–
Golden EaglesBulldogs
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulldogs–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles vs Mississippi State Bulldogs prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 8-point favorite at home, with a 74% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1502 (175th of 361), Golden Eagles 1413 (301st). The Bulldogs are 0-0; the Golden Eagles are 0-0. The Bulldogs have won 1 of their last 5; the Golden Eagles 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Mississippi State BulldogsL 88–106––matchup
at Southeast Missouri State RedhawksL 73–89––matchup
at UT Martin SkyhawksL 49–64––matchup
vs SIU Edwardsville CougarsW 62–52––matchup
at Morehead State EaglesL 66–73––matchup

Mississippi State Bulldogs

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Tennessee Tech Golden EaglesW 106–88––matchup
at Auburn TigersL 61–79––matchup
vs Georgia BulldogsL 96–102––matchup
at Florida GatorsL 74–108––matchup
vs Missouri TigersL 64–88––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Mississippi State Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Golden Eagles0-0 6th · -
  • Golden Eagles rating1413 301st of 361, 1 games
  • Bulldogs0-0 8th · -
  • Bulldogs rating1502 175th of 361, 1 games

Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TNTCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TNTCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TNTCMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TNTCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Golden Eagles roster, schedule and more

Mississippi State Bulldogs 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $MSSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $MSSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $MSSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $MSSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Mississippi State Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulldogs roster, schedule and more

Takes on Tennessee Tech Golden Eagles at Mississippi State Bulldogs

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Final: Tennessee Tech 88, Mississippi State 106. Bandwagon's model had the Mississippi State at 74% and projected Mississippi State 77, Tennessee Tech 69; spread Mississippi State −8, total 145.5.