Florida Gators lead the Miami Hurricanes 44-34 with 1:27 left in the first period, a 10-point margin. The model has the Gators at 68 percent, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · O'Connell Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Miami Hurricanes vs Florida Gators: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMiami 67, Florida 77 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerFlorida 68%
- Pregame Projected scoreFlorida 76, Miami 70
- Model spreadFlorida −6 total 145.5
- Margin10 projected 6.2
- Total144 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Miami Hurricanes or Florida Gators: the bandwagon
Axle 32–68Market –
FinalPregame: FLA 68%Baseline: FLA 85.7% (+17.5)Big swing: 19.4 ptsClutch window: 3:30
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| MIA | 36 | 31 | 67 |
| FLA | 46 | 31 | 77 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Miami Hurricanes at Florida Gators win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+2.0 points for FLA over the last 5:00
Big swing19.4 ptstoward FLA at 23:14 of game time
Clutch window3:30within 5 points in the final half
BaselineFLA 85.7%game average, +17.5 points from the pregame 68.2%
Miami Hurricanes vs Florida Gators live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MIA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MIA21/60 | FLA23/53 |
| 3-pointers | MIA4/17 | FLA11/26 |
| Free throws | MIA21/30 | FLA20/35 |
| Rebounds | MIA39 | FLA44 |
| Assists | MIA6 | FLA17 |
| Turnovers | MIA11 | FLA13 |
| Steals | MIA5 | FLA7 |
| Blocks | MIA0 | FLA5 |
| Points in the paint | MIA26 | FLA22 |
| Fast-break points | MIA10 | FLA7 |
| Fouls | MIA27 | FLA21 |
| Largest lead | MIA3 | FLA14 |
Miami Hurricanes vs Florida Gators team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MIA | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MIA67 | FLA77 |
| Average win probability | MIA14% | FLA86% |
| Longest scoring run | MIA+5 | FLA+9 |
| Time leading | MIA6:47 | FLA32:21 |
Miami Hurricanes vs Florida Gators odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET
Hurricanes32%
Win chanceGators68%
SpreadFLA −6closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+215away / −215homeaway / home
Line movementFLA win chance, 15 stored lines
+18 pts for FLA between Oct 29 and Nov 2
74%45%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | FLA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 68% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 68% | +3 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 65% | +15 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- FLA 1711 · MIA 1603
- Home spread
- −6 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:16 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Miami Hurricanes 67, Florida Gators 77. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
HurricanesGators
Neutrals only–
HurricanesGators
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Gators–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Miami Hurricanes vs Florida Gators prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gators a 6-point favorite, with a 68% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Gators 1723 (4th of 361), Hurricanes 1592 (54th). The Gators are 1-0; the Hurricanes are 0-1. The Gators have won 3 of their last 5; the Hurricanes 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Gators won 1, the Hurricanes 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Miami Hurricanes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Gators | L 67–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Purdue Boilermakers | L 69–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Missouri Tigers | W 80–66 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Virginia Cavaliers | L 62–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisville Cardinals | W 78–73 | – | – | matchup |
Florida Gators
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Miami Hurricanes | W 77–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa Hawkeyes | L 72–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Prairie View A&M Panthers | W 114–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Vanderbilt Commodores | L 74–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | W 71–63 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami Hurricanes at Florida Gators | 68–82 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Miami Hurricanes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Florida Gators: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Hurricanes0-1 18th · L1
- Hurricanes rating1592 54th of 361, 1 games
- Gators1-0 3rd · W1
- Gators rating1723 4th of 361, 1 games
Miami Hurricanes 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 18th · streak L1
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Florida Gators 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
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