Texas Southern Tigers vs Grand Canyon Lopes: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreTexas Southern 79, Grand Canyon 103 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerGrand Canyon 82%
- Pregame Projected scoreGrand Canyon 78, Texas Southern 67
- Model spreadGrand Canyon −11.5 total 145.5
- Margin24 projected 11.3
- Total182 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Texas Southern Tigers or Grand Canyon Lopes: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| TXSO | 37 | 42 | 79 |
| GCU | 48 | 55 | 103 |
Texas Southern Tigers at Grand Canyon Lopes win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Texas Southern Tigers vs Grand Canyon Lopes live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TXSO | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | TXSO25/59 | GCU33/65 |
| 3-pointers | TXSO4/16 | GCU11/34 |
| Free throws | TXSO25/40 | GCU26/41 |
| Rebounds | TXSO31 | GCU47 |
| Assists | TXSO11 | GCU23 |
| Turnovers | TXSO14 | GCU15 |
| Steals | TXSO10 | GCU5 |
| Blocks | TXSO2 | GCU5 |
| Points in the paint | TXSO38 | GCU38 |
| Fast-break points | TXSO6 | GCU17 |
| Fouls | TXSO32 | GCU24 |
| Largest lead | TXSO2 | GCU26 |
Texas Southern Tigers vs Grand Canyon Lopes team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TXSO | GCU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TXSO79 | GCU103 |
| Average win probability | TXSO6% | GCU94% |
| Longest scoring run | TXSO+3 | GCU+6 |
| Time leading | TXSO0:00 | GCU20:00 |
Texas Southern Tigers vs Grand Canyon Lopes odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GCU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:51 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 86% | +21 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- GCU 1584 · TXSO 1432
- Home spread
- −11.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET · 2026-11-03 04:35 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Texas Southern Tigers 79, Grand Canyon Lopes 103. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Texas Southern Tigers vs Grand Canyon Lopes prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lopes a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Lopes 1593 (53rd of 361), Tigers 1423 (288th). The Lopes are 1-0; the Tigers are 0-1. The Lopes have won 3 of their last 5; the Tigers 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Texas Southern Tigers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Grand Canyon Lopes | L 79–103 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alabama A&M Bulldogs | L 74–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Prairie View A&M Panthers | L 59–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Jackson State Tigers | W 82–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Alcorn State Braves | W 92–87 | – | – | matchup |
Grand Canyon Lopes
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Texas Southern Tigers | W 103–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | L 80–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fresno State Bulldogs | W 85–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Air Force Falcons | W 86–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Utah State Aggies | L 69–74 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Texas Southern Tigers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Grand Canyon Lopes: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Tigers0-1 12th · L1
- Tigers rating1423 288th of 361, 1 games
- Lopes1-0 1st · W1
- Lopes rating1593 53rd of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $TXSOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Southern Tigers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $GCUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Grand Canyon Lopes bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Texas Southern 79, Grand Canyon 103. Bandwagon's model had the Grand Canyon at 82% and projected Grand Canyon 78, Texas Southern 67; spread Grand Canyon −11.5, total 145.5.