East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Arizona State Sun Devils: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreEast Tennessee State 65, Arizona State 75 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerArizona State 63%
- Pregame Projected scoreArizona State 75, East Tennessee State 70
- Model spreadArizona State −4.5 total 145.5
- Margin10 projected 4.7
- Total140 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
East Tennessee State Buccaneers or Arizona State Sun Devils: the bandwagon
Axle 37–63Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ETSU | 31 | 34 | 65 |
| ASU | 37 | 38 | 75 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Arizona State Sun Devils win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Arizona State Sun Devils live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ETSU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | ETSU25/55 | ASU23/53 |
| 3-pointers | ETSU7/17 | ASU8/26 |
| Free throws | ETSU8/12 | ASU21/26 |
| Rebounds | ETSU31 | ASU34 |
| Assists | ETSU10 | ASU13 |
| Turnovers | ETSU13 | ASU10 |
| Steals | ETSU9 | ASU3 |
| Blocks | ETSU0 | ASU2 |
| Points in the paint | ETSU30 | ASU30 |
| Fast-break points | ETSU5 | ASU6 |
| Fouls | ETSU26 | ASU12 |
| Largest lead | ETSU1 | ASU13 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Arizona State Sun Devils team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ETSU | ASU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ETSU65 | ASU75 |
| Average win probability | ETSU14% | ASU86% |
| Longest scoring run | ETSU+8 | ASU+6 |
| Time leading | ETSU0:00 | ASU32:26 |
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Arizona State Sun Devils odds
Every stored line
| Stored | ASU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 63% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 62% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 62% | −3 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- ASU 1525 · ETSU 1545
- Home spread
- −4.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET · 2026-11-03 04:14 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: East Tennessee State Buccaneers 65, Arizona State Sun Devils 75. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
East Tennessee State Buccaneers vs Arizona State Sun Devils prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Sun Devils a 4.5-point favorite at home, with a 63% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Sun Devils 1537 (113th of 361), Buccaneers 1532 (125th). The Sun Devils are 1-0; the Buccaneers are 0-1. The Sun Devils have won 3 of their last 5; the Buccaneers 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
East Tennessee State Buccaneers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 65–75 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Furman Paladins | L 61–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Western Carolina Catamounts | W 69–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs The Citadel Bulldogs | W 83–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mercer Bears | L 76–82 | – | – | matchup |
Arizona State Sun Devils
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs East Tennessee State Buccaneers | W 75–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 42–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Baylor Bears | W 83–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 65–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 70–60 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
East Tennessee State Buccaneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Arizona State Sun Devils: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Buccaneers0-1 7th · L1
- Buccaneers rating1532 125th of 361, 1 games
- Sun Devils1-0 1st · W1
- Sun Devils rating1537 113th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $ETSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Tennessee State Buccaneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
No stances yet today on $ASUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona State Sun Devils bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on East Tennessee State Buccaneers at Arizona State Sun Devils
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Final: East Tennessee State 65, Arizona State 75. Bandwagon's model had the Arizona State at 63% and projected Arizona State 75, East Tennessee State 70; spread Arizona State −4.5, total 145.5.