Idaho State Bengals vs Utah State Aggies: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreIdaho State 58, Utah State 94 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerUtah State 88%
- Pregame Projected scoreUtah State 80, Idaho State 66
- Model spreadUtah State −14 total 145.5
- Margin36 projected 14.1
- Total152 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Idaho State Bengals or Utah State Aggies: the bandwagon
Axle 12–88Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| IDST | 29 | 29 | 58 |
| USU | 37 | 57 | 94 |
Idaho State Bengals at Utah State Aggies win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Idaho State Bengals vs Utah State Aggies live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | IDST | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | IDST20/57 | USU36/62 |
| 3-pointers | IDST3/25 | USU5/17 |
| Free throws | IDST15/24 | USU17/22 |
| Rebounds | IDST25 | USU48 |
| Assists | IDST8 | USU26 |
| Turnovers | IDST15 | USU14 |
| Steals | IDST8 | USU12 |
| Blocks | IDST5 | USU1 |
| Points in the paint | IDST30 | USU60 |
| Fast-break points | IDST2 | USU21 |
| Fouls | IDST20 | USU22 |
| Largest lead | IDST4 | USU39 |
Idaho State Bengals vs Utah State Aggies team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | IDST | USU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | IDST58 | USU94 |
| Average win probability | IDST4% | USU96% |
| Longest scoring run | IDST+4 | USU+9 |
| Time leading | IDST0:00 | USU20:48 |
Idaho State Bengals vs Utah State Aggies odds
Every stored line
| Stored | USU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:14 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 88% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 92% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 92% | +27 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- USU 1645 · IDST 1420
- Home spread
- −14
- Stored
- Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET · 2026-11-03 04:19 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Idaho State Bengals 58, Utah State Aggies 94. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Idaho State Bengals vs Utah State Aggies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Aggies a 14-point favorite at home, with a 88% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Aggies 1652 (19th of 361), Bengals 1413 (302nd). The Aggies are 0-0; the Bengals are 0-0. The Aggies have won 4 of their last 5; the Bengals 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Idaho State Bengals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Utah State Aggies | L 58–94 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland State Vikings | L 78–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W 73–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Sacramento State Hornets | L 65–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Weber State Wildcats | L 73–83 | – | – | matchup |
Utah State Aggies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Idaho State Bengals | W 94–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 66–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Villanova Wildcats | W 86–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San Diego State Aztecs | W 73–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | W 79–66 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Idaho State Bengals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Utah State Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bengals0-0 3rd · -
- Bengals rating1413 302nd of 361, 1 games
- Aggies0-0 8th · -
- Aggies rating1652 19th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak -
No stances yet today on $IDSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Idaho State Bengals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak -
No stances yet today on $USUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Utah State Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Idaho State Bengals at Utah State Aggies
Sign in to post a take on $IDSTMBBUSUMBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Final: Idaho State 58, Utah State 94. Bandwagon's model had the Utah State at 88% and projected Utah State 80, Idaho State 66; spread Utah State −14, total 145.5.