Old Dominion leads Western Michigan 2-0 just 19:13 into the 1st period, and the model gives the Monarchs a 69% chance at home. No crowd picks are in yet, so there is no crowd number to compare against.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Ted Constant Convocation Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Western Michigan Broncos vs Old Dominion Monarchs: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreWestern Michigan 49, Old Dominion 61 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerOld Dominion 69%
- Pregame Projected scoreOld Dominion 76, Western Michigan 70
- Model spreadOld Dominion −6.5 total 145.5
- Margin12 projected 6.4
- Total110 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Western Michigan Broncos or Old Dominion Monarchs: the bandwagon
Axle 31–69Market –
FinalPregame: ODU 69%Baseline: ODU 65.2% (−3.6)Big swing: 21.0 ptsClutch window: 13:08
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| WMU | 24 | 25 | 49 |
| ODU | 30 | 31 | 61 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Western Michigan Broncos at Old Dominion Monarchs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+2.5 points for ODU over the last 5:00
Big swing21.0 ptstoward ODU at 29:19 of game time
Clutch window13:08within 5 points in the final half
BaselineODU 65.2%game average, −3.6 points from the pregame 68.8%
Western Michigan Broncos vs Old Dominion Monarchs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | WMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | WMU19/51 | ODU25/56 |
| 3-pointers | WMU8/20 | ODU4/15 |
| Free throws | WMU3/9 | ODU7/13 |
| Rebounds | WMU32 | ODU37 |
| Assists | WMU11 | ODU12 |
| Turnovers | WMU16 | ODU10 |
| Steals | WMU7 | ODU10 |
| Blocks | WMU1 | ODU3 |
| Points in the paint | WMU16 | ODU36 |
| Fast-break points | WMU3 | ODU8 |
| Fouls | WMU15 | ODU16 |
| Largest lead | WMU7 | ODU15 |
Western Michigan Broncos vs Old Dominion Monarchs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | WMU | ODU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WMU49 | ODU61 |
| Average win probability | WMU35% | ODU65% |
| Longest scoring run | WMU+13 | ODU+11 |
| Time leading | WMU18:25 | ODU16:17 |
Western Michigan Broncos vs Old Dominion Monarchs odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET
Broncos31%
Win chanceMonarchs69%
SpreadODU −6.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+220away / −220homeaway / home
Line movementODU win chance, 10 stored lines
+4 pts for ODU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
76%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | ODU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 69% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 70% | +5 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- ODU 1450 · WMU 1424
- Home spread
- −6.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:56 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Western Michigan Broncos 49, Old Dominion Monarchs 61. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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BroncosMonarchs
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BroncosMonarchs
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Monarchs–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Western Michigan Broncos vs Old Dominion Monarchs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Monarchs a 6.5-point favorite at home, with a 69% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Monarchs 1461 (240th of 361), Broncos 1413 (303rd). The Monarchs are 1-0; the Broncos are 0-1. The Monarchs have won 3 of their last 5; the Broncos 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Western Michigan Broncos
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | L 49–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Kent State Golden Flashes | L 78–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Ball State Cardinals | L 71–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami (OH) RedHawks | L 67–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Bowling Green Falcons | W 88–79 | – | – | matchup |
Old Dominion Monarchs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Western Michigan Broncos | W 61–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Southern Eagles | L 84–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UL Monroe Warhawks | W 87–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia State Panthers | W 81–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | L 88–97 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Western Michigan Broncos: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Old Dominion Monarchs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Broncos0-1 12th · L1
- Broncos rating1413 303rd of 361, 1 games
- Monarchs1-0 6th · W1
- Monarchs rating1461 240th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L1
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NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1
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Final: Western Michigan 49, Old Dominion 61. Bandwagon's model had the Old Dominion at 69% and projected Old Dominion 76, Western Michigan 70; spread Old Dominion −6.5, total 145.5.