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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Gallagher-Iba Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Oklahoma State Cowboys: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Incarnate Word Cardinals or Oklahoma State Cowboys: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 22–78Market –

FinalPregame: OKST 78%Baseline: OKST 94.4% (+16.4)Big swing: 21.9 ptsClutch window: none
60+4391+37
Score by period
Team12T
UIW174360
OKST543791
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Incarnate Word Cardinals at Oklahoma State Cowboys win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for OKST: 34 points, 78% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00OKST 100%UIW 0%
Win probability for OKST: 34 points, 78% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00OKST 100%UIW 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for OKST over the last 5:00
Big swing21.9 ptstoward OKST at 20:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineOKST 94.4%game average, +16.4 points from the pregame 78.0%

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Oklahoma State Cowboys live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatUIWOKST
Field goalsUIW22/51OKST29/65
3-pointersUIW7/19OKST11/29
Free throwsUIW9/14OKST22/29
ReboundsUIW26OKST38
AssistsUIW12OKST15
TurnoversUIW21OKST9
StealsUIW1OKST10
BlocksUIW9OKST6
Points in the paintUIW28OKST34
Fast-break pointsUIW4OKST15
FoulsUIW21OKST20
Largest leadUIW0OKST39

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Oklahoma State Cowboys team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatUIWOKST
ScoreUIW60OKST91
Average win probabilityUIW6%OKST94%
Longest scoring runUIW+5OKST+2
Time leadingUIW0:00OKST19:52

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Oklahoma State Cowboys odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET
Cardinals22%
Win chance
Cowboys78%
SpreadOKST −9.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+356away / −356homeaway / home
Line movementOKST win chance, 23 stored lines
+13 pts for OKST between Oct 29 and Nov 2
87%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: OKST 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: OKST 81%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: OKST 81%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: OKST 81%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: OKST 78%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: OKST 78%Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET: OKST 78%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredOKST winMove
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 10:07 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 5:58 PM ET78%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET78%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET78%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET78%−3
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET81%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET81%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET81%+16
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
OKST 1517 · UIW 1412
Home spread
−9.5
Stored
Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 03:56 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Incarnate Word Cardinals 60, Oklahoma State Cowboys 91. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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CardinalsCowboys
Neutrals only–
CardinalsCowboys
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Cowboys–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Incarnate Word Cardinals vs Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Cowboys a 9.5-point favorite at home, with a 78% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Cowboys 1530 (131st of 361), Cardinals 1399 (322nd). The Cowboys are 1-0; the Cardinals are 0-1. The Cowboys have won 3 of their last 5; the Cardinals 2 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Incarnate Word Cardinals

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Oklahoma State CowboysL 60–91––matchup
vs Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksL 68–76––matchup
vs Lamar CardinalsW 72–60––matchup
at Northwestern State DemonsL 49–54––matchup
at East Texas A&M LionsW 82–73––matchup

Oklahoma State Cowboys

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Incarnate Word CardinalsW 91–60––matchup
vs Wichita State ShockersL 70–96––matchup
vs Davidson WildcatsW 84–80––matchup
at TCU Horned FrogsL 88–95––matchup
at Colorado BuffaloesW 92–83––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Incarnate Word Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Oklahoma State Cowboys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Cardinals0-1 8th · L1
  • Cardinals rating1399 322nd of 361, 1 games
  • Cowboys1-0 8th · W1
  • Cowboys rating1530 131st of 361, 1 games

Incarnate Word Cardinals 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UIWMBB
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No stances yet today on $UIWMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Incarnate Word Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cardinals roster, schedule and more

Oklahoma State Cowboys 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OKSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OKSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OKSTMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $OKSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma State Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Cowboys roster, schedule and more

Takes on Incarnate Word Cardinals at Oklahoma State Cowboys

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Final: Incarnate Word 60, Oklahoma State 91. Bandwagon's model had the Oklahoma State at 78% and projected Oklahoma State 78, Incarnate Word 68; spread Oklahoma State −9.5, total 145.5.