Northwestern State Demons vs Baylor Bears: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNorthwestern State 65, Baylor 87 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerBaylor 80%
- Pregame Projected scoreBaylor 78, Northwestern State 68
- Model spreadBaylor −10 total 145.5
- Margin22 projected 10.1
- Total152 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Northwestern State Demons or Baylor Bears: the bandwagon
Axle 20–80Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| NWST | 32 | 33 | 65 |
| BAY | 50 | 37 | 87 |
Northwestern State Demons at Baylor Bears win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Northwestern State Demons vs Baylor Bears live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NWST | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NWST22/59 | BAY31/65 |
| 3-pointers | NWST5/23 | BAY9/29 |
| Free throws | NWST16/24 | BAY16/29 |
| Rebounds | NWST35 | BAY49 |
| Assists | NWST10 | BAY17 |
| Turnovers | NWST16 | BAY16 |
| Steals | NWST7 | BAY9 |
| Blocks | NWST4 | BAY5 |
| Points in the paint | NWST30 | BAY38 |
| Fast-break points | NWST8 | BAY10 |
| Fouls | NWST25 | BAY21 |
| Largest lead | NWST0 | BAY24 |
Northwestern State Demons vs Baylor Bears team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NWST | BAY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NWST65 | BAY87 |
| Average win probability | NWST5% | BAY95% |
| Longest scoring run | NWST+5 | BAY+4 |
| Time leading | NWST0:00 | BAY23:15 |
Northwestern State Demons vs Baylor Bears odds
Every stored line
| Stored | BAY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:59 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 80% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 80% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 79% | −1 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 80% | +1 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 79% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 79% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 83% | +18 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- BAY 1534 · NWST 1413
- Home spread
- −10
- Stored
- Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET · 2026-11-03 04:35 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Northwestern State Demons 65, Baylor Bears 87. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Northwestern State Demons vs Baylor Bears prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bears a 10-point favorite at home, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bears 1544 (99th of 361), Demons 1403 (317th). The Bears are 1-0; the Demons are 0-1. The Bears have won 3 of their last 5; the Demons 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bears won 2, the Demons 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Northwestern State Demons
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Baylor Bears | L 65–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Nicholls Colonels | L 47–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UT Rio Grande Valley Vaqueros | L 62–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | L 59–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Incarnate Word Cardinals | W 54–49 | – | – | matchup |
Baylor Bears
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Northwestern State Demons | W 87–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | L 69–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Minnesota Golden Gophers | W 67–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 79–83 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Utes | W 101–75 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern State Demons at Baylor Bears | 40–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| Northwestern State Demons at Baylor Bears | 48–58 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Northwestern State Demons: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Baylor Bears: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Demons0-1 10th · L1
- Demons rating1403 317th of 361, 1 games
- Bears1-0 3rd · W1
- Bears rating1544 99th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NWSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northwestern State Demons bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Baylor Bears 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $BAYMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Baylor Bears bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Northwestern State Demons at Baylor Bears
Sign in to post a take on $NWSTMBBBAYMBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Final: Northwestern State 65, Baylor 87. Bandwagon's model had the Baylor at 80% and projected Baylor 78, Northwestern State 68; spread Baylor −10, total 145.5.