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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Yuengling Center · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs South Florida Bulls: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Charleston Southern Buccaneers or South Florida Bulls: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 16–84Market –

FinalPregame: USF 84%Baseline: USF 94.1% (+10.3)Big swing: 6.2 ptsClutch window: none
71+3898+55
Record 0-0
Score by period
Team12T
CHSO333871
USF435598
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Charleston Southern Buccaneers at South Florida Bulls win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for USF: 161 points, 84% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00USF 100%CHSO 0%
Win probability for USF: 161 points, 84% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00USF 100%CHSO 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.0 points for USF over the last 5:00
Big swing6.2 ptstoward CHSO at 5:29 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineUSF 94.1%game average, +10.3 points from the pregame 83.9%

Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs South Florida Bulls live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatCHSOUSF
Field goalsCHSO26/66USF38/76
3-pointersCHSO5/23USF9/20
Free throwsCHSO14/21USF13/18
ReboundsCHSO42USF45
AssistsCHSO18USF14
TurnoversCHSO16USF8
StealsCHSO3USF13
BlocksCHSO5USF4
Points in the paintCHSO42USF50
Fast-break pointsCHSO4USF17
FoulsCHSO14USF17
Largest leadCHSO0USF30

Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs South Florida Bulls team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatCHSOUSF
ScoreCHSO71USF98
Average win probabilityCHSO6%USF94%
Longest scoring runCHSO+6USF+6
Time leadingCHSO0:00USF35:42

Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs South Florida Bulls odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET
Buccaneers16%
Win chance
Bulls84%
SpreadUSF −12closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+523away / −523homeaway / home
Line movementUSF win chance, 21 stored lines
+19 pts for USF between Oct 29 and Nov 2
93%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: USF 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: USF 88%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: USF 88%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: USF 88%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: USF 84%Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET: USF 84%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredUSF winMove
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET84%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET84%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET84%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET84%−4
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET88%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET88%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET88%+23
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
USF 1629 · CHSO 1458
Home spread
−12
Stored
Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:46 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Charleston Southern Buccaneers 71, South Florida Bulls 98. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

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BuccaneersBulls
Neutrals only–
BuccaneersBulls
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Bulls–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Charleston Southern Buccaneers vs South Florida Bulls prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Bulls a 12-point favorite at home, with a 84% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bulls 1637 (27th of 361), Buccaneers 1450 (253rd). The Bulls are 0-0; the Buccaneers are 0-0. The Bulls have won 4 of their last 5; the Buccaneers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulls won 1, the Buccaneers 0.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Charleston Southern Buccaneers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at South Florida BullsL 71–98––matchup
at Winthrop EaglesL 81–86––matchup
at UNC Asheville BulldogsW 92–75––matchup
vs Winthrop EaglesW 86–84––matchup
vs Longwood LancersL 96–107––matchup

South Florida Bulls

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Charleston Southern BuccaneersW 98–71––matchup
at Louisville CardinalsL 79–83––matchup
vs Wichita State ShockersW 70–55––matchup
vs Charlotte 49ersW 86–64––matchup
vs Charlotte 49ersW 83–60––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Charleston Southern Buccaneers at South Florida Bulls59–79––matchup

Injuries

Charleston Southern Buccaneers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

South Florida Bulls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Buccaneers0-0 2nd · -
  • Buccaneers rating1450 253rd of 361, 1 games
  • Bulls0-0 7th · -
  • Bulls rating1637 27th of 361, 1 games

Charleston Southern Buccaneers 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CHSOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CHSOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CHSOMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $CHSOMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charleston Southern Buccaneers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Buccaneers roster, schedule and more

South Florida Bulls 0-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak -

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $USFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $USFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $USFMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $USFMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Florida Bulls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Bulls roster, schedule and more

Takes on Charleston Southern Buccaneers at South Florida Bulls

Sign in to post a take on $CHSOMBBUSFMBB261103: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Final: Charleston Southern 71, South Florida 98. Bandwagon's model had the South Florida at 84% and projected South Florida 79, Charleston Southern 67; spread South Florida −12, total 145.5.