NBAPOR 114 PHX 97· 8:14 - 4thNBATOR 107 DEN 126· 44.0 - 4thNBADAL 51 SA 68· 11:06 - 3rdNHLCGY 1 SEA 0· 10:32 - 2ndNBALAL 61 SAC 54· HalftimeCBBMILW 38 SCU 62· 14:24 - 2ndCBBNDSU 38 SMC 69· 11:59 - 2ndWCBBSMC 40 STAN 61· 1:23 - 3rdNHLSJ 0 LA 3· 16:14 - 2ndNBAMIA 35 LAC 45· 7:17 - 2ndWCBBUNF–FSU11:00 AMWCBBHAMP–SMU12:00 PMWCBBM-OH–SEMO12:00 PMWCBBSTBK–IONA1:00 PMWCBBUNT–SDSU2:00 PMWCBBHAW–SF3:00 PMWCBBUIC–RMU4:00 PMWCBBUCF–FLA4:30 PMCBBMCN–UNT5:00 PMCBBWAKE–VAN6:00 PMWCBBCLT–TTU6:00 PMWCBBDART–HC6:00 PMWCBBMSM–UMBC6:00 PMCBBCHST–UIW6:00 PMCBBBELL–IU6:00 PMCBBUTC–PSU6:00 PMWCBBMRST–BRY6:00 PMWCBBCAN–UNH6:00 PMWCBBMRMK–NJIT6:00 PMWCBBUWF–WCU6:00 PMWCBBPRES–WAKE6:00 PMWCBBSIE–ME6:00 PMWCBBCCSU–JMU6:00 PMWCBBSIUE–IUIN6:30 PMWCBBCONN–MICH6:30 PMWCBBNKU–UK6:30 PMWCBBCMU–OSU6:30 PMWCBBLIP–BTLR6:30 PMCBBLIU–HALL6:30 PMWCBBMAN–UALB6:30 PMAll scores
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St. Thomas Tommies vs Presbyterian Blue Hose: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

St. Thomas Tommies or Presbyterian Blue Hose: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 54–46Market –

FinalPregame: PRES 46%Baseline: PRES 24.7% (−21.1)Big swing: 14.3 ptsClutch window: 2:06
Record 1-0
87+4978+42
Score by period
Team12T
STMN384987
PRES364278
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

St. Thomas Tommies at Presbyterian Blue Hose win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for PRES: 149 points, 46% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00PRES 0%STMN 100%
Win probability for PRES: 149 points, 46% at the start, 0% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00PRES 0%STMN 100%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable−2.0 points for PRES over the last 5:00
Big swing14.3 ptstoward STMN at 14:36 of game time
Clutch window2:06within 5 points in the final half
BaselinePRES 24.7%game average, −21.1 points from the pregame 45.8%

St. Thomas Tommies vs Presbyterian Blue Hose live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatSTMNPRES
Field goalsSTMN28/51PRES27/60
3-pointersSTMN12/24PRES7/28
Free throwsSTMN19/21PRES17/25
ReboundsSTMN28PRES31
AssistsSTMN16PRES12
TurnoversSTMN11PRES10
StealsSTMN4PRES5
BlocksSTMN1PRES4
Points in the paintSTMN32PRES34
Fast-break pointsSTMN11PRES19
FoulsSTMN18PRES20
Largest leadSTMN13PRES4

St. Thomas Tommies vs Presbyterian Blue Hose team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatSTMNPRES
ScoreSTMN87PRES78
Average win probabilitySTMN75%PRES25%
Longest scoring runSTMN+10PRES+6
Time leadingSTMN29:00PRES4:03

St. Thomas Tommies vs Presbyterian Blue Hose odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET
Tommies54%
Win chance
Blue Hose46%
SpreadPKclosing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline−119away / +119homeaway / home
Line movementPRES win chance, 15 stored lines
−19 pts for PRES between Oct 29 and Nov 2
71%34%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: PRES 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: PRES 40%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: PRES 40%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: PRES 40%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: PRES 46%Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: PRES 46%Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET: PRES 46%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
StoredPRES winMove
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET46%0
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET46%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET46%0
Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET46%0
Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET46%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET46%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET46%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET46%0
Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET46%0
Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET46%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET46%+6
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET40%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET40%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET40%−25
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
PRES 1444 · STMN 1581
Home spread
PK
Stored
Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:12 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: St. Thomas Tommies 87, Presbyterian Blue Hose 78. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

TommiesBlue Hose
Neutrals only–
TommiesBlue Hose
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Blue Hose–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

St. Thomas Tommies vs Presbyterian Blue Hose prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Tommies the favorite, with a 54% chance to win; its spread rounds to even. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Blue Hose 1429 (280th of 361), Tommies 1596 (49th). The Blue Hose are 0-1; the Tommies are 1-0. The Blue Hose have won 1 of their last 5; the Tommies 3 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

St. Thomas Tommies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Presbyterian Blue HoseW 87–78––matchup
at Seattle U RedhawksL 52–67––matchup
vs North Dakota Fighting HawksL 66–67––matchup
vs South Dakota State JackrabbitsW 80–67––matchup
vs Omaha MavericksW 68–53––matchup

Presbyterian Blue Hose

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs St. Thomas TommiesL 78–87––matchup
at Winthrop EaglesL 71–73––matchup
at Radford HighlandersW 91–85––matchup
at Winthrop EaglesL 70–74––matchup
vs High Point PanthersL 73–79––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

St. Thomas Tommies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Presbyterian Blue Hose: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Tommies1-0 5th · W1
  • Tommies rating1596 49th of 361, 1 games
  • Blue Hose0-1 5th · L1
  • Blue Hose rating1429 280th of 361, 1 games

St. Thomas Tommies 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $STMNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $STMNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $STMNMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $STMNMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the St. Thomas Tommies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Tommies roster, schedule and more

Presbyterian Blue Hose 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PRESMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PRESMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PRESMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $PRESMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Presbyterian Blue Hose bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Blue Hose roster, schedule and more

Takes on St. Thomas Tommies at Presbyterian Blue Hose

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