Chattanooga Mocs vs Louisville Cardinals: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreChattanooga 70, Louisville 84 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerLouisville 83%
- Pregame Projected scoreLouisville 79, Chattanooga 67
- Model spreadLouisville −11.5 total 145.5
- Margin14 projected 11.7
- Total154 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Chattanooga Mocs or Louisville Cardinals: the bandwagon
Axle 17–83Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| UTC | 35 | 35 | 70 |
| LOU | 56 | 28 | 84 |
Chattanooga Mocs at Louisville Cardinals win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Chattanooga Mocs vs Louisville Cardinals live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | UTC | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | UTC25/57 | LOU30/68 |
| 3-pointers | UTC12/33 | LOU9/35 |
| Free throws | UTC8/14 | LOU15/26 |
| Rebounds | UTC38 | LOU42 |
| Assists | UTC18 | LOU17 |
| Turnovers | UTC18 | LOU10 |
| Steals | UTC8 | LOU12 |
| Blocks | UTC1 | LOU1 |
| Points in the paint | UTC26 | LOU42 |
| Fast-break points | UTC6 | LOU13 |
| Fouls | UTC19 | LOU16 |
| Largest lead | UTC0 | LOU25 |
Chattanooga Mocs vs Louisville Cardinals team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | UTC | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | UTC70 | LOU84 |
| Average win probability | UTC4% | LOU96% |
| Longest scoring run | UTC+5 | LOU+5 |
| Time leading | UTC0:00 | LOU19:47 |
Chattanooga Mocs vs Louisville Cardinals odds
Every stored line
| Stored | LOU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:56 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:27 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:46 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:41 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:16 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:12 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 87% | +22 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- LOU 1629 · UTC 1468
- Home spread
- −11.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 11:09 PM ET · 2026-11-03 04:09 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Chattanooga Mocs 70, Louisville Cardinals 84. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Chattanooga Mocs vs Louisville Cardinals prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cardinals a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Cardinals 1636 (28th of 361), Mocs 1461 (239th). The Cardinals are 1-0; the Mocs are 0-1. The Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5; the Mocs 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cardinals won 0, the Mocs 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Chattanooga Mocs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Louisville Cardinals | L 70–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs The Citadel Bulldogs | L 85–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs VMI Keydets | W 86–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Greensboro Spartans | L 80–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at The Citadel Bulldogs | W 93–72 | – | – | matchup |
Louisville Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Chattanooga Mocs | W 84–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan State Spartans | L 69–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs South Florida Bulls | W 83–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Miami Hurricanes | L 73–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs SMU Mustangs | W 62–58 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chattanooga Mocs at Louisville Cardinals | 81–71 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Chattanooga Mocs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Louisville Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mocs0-1 6th · L1
- Mocs rating1461 239th of 361, 1 games
- Cardinals1-0 7th · W1
- Cardinals rating1636 28th of 361, 1 games
Chattanooga Mocs 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $UTCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Chattanooga Mocs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 7th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $LOUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Louisville Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Chattanooga 70, Louisville 84. Bandwagon's model had the Louisville at 83% and projected Louisville 79, Chattanooga 67; spread Louisville −11.5, total 145.5.