Niagara Purple Eagles lead West Virginia Mountaineers 5-3 with 17:24 left in the 1st, a margin of 2 for the away side. The model still has the home side at 85%, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Hope Coliseum · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Niagara Purple Eagles vs West Virginia Mountaineers: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreNiagara 46, West Virginia 91 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerWest Virginia 85%
- Pregame Projected scoreWest Virginia 79, Niagara 67
- Model spreadWest Virginia −12.5 total 145.5
- Margin45 projected 12.5
- Total137 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Niagara Purple Eagles or West Virginia Mountaineers: the bandwagon
Axle 15–85Market –
FinalPregame: WVU 85%Baseline: WVU 91.9% (+6.9)Big swing: 12.4 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| NIA | 30 | 16 | 46 |
| WVU | 43 | 48 | 91 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Niagara Purple Eagles at West Virginia Mountaineers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for WVU over the last 5:00
Big swing12.4 ptstoward NIA at 5:35 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineWVU 91.9%game average, +6.9 points from the pregame 85.0%
Niagara Purple Eagles vs West Virginia Mountaineers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NIA | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | NIA19/45 | WVU32/61 |
| 3-pointers | NIA8/20 | WVU13/30 |
| Free throws | NIA0/4 | WVU14/22 |
| Rebounds | NIA24 | WVU36 |
| Assists | NIA9 | WVU17 |
| Turnovers | NIA24 | WVU9 |
| Steals | NIA2 | WVU13 |
| Blocks | NIA4 | WVU2 |
| Points in the paint | NIA22 | WVU38 |
| Fast-break points | NIA3 | WVU9 |
| Fouls | NIA16 | WVU14 |
| Largest lead | NIA10 | WVU45 |
Niagara Purple Eagles vs West Virginia Mountaineers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NIA | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NIA46 | WVU91 |
| Average win probability | NIA8% | WVU92% |
| Longest scoring run | NIA+8 | WVU+21 |
| Time leading | NIA7:29 | WVU30:29 |
Niagara Purple Eagles vs West Virginia Mountaineers odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET
Purple Eagles15%
Win chanceMountaineers85%
SpreadWVU −12.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+565away / −565homeaway / home
Line movementWVU win chance, 15 stored lines
+20 pts for WVU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
94%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | WVU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 85% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 89% | +24 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- WVU 1570 · NIA 1386
- Home spread
- −12.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET · 2026-11-03 01:56 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Niagara Purple Eagles 46, West Virginia Mountaineers 91. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Purple EaglesMountaineers
Neutrals only–
Purple EaglesMountaineers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Mountaineers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Niagara Purple Eagles vs West Virginia Mountaineers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Mountaineers a 12.5-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Mountaineers 1580 (65th of 361), Purple Eagles 1376 (337th). The Mountaineers are 1-0; the Purple Eagles are 0-1. The Mountaineers have won 4 of their last 5; the Purple Eagles 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Niagara Purple Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | L 46–91 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Merrimack Warriors | L 66–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Quinnipiac Bobcats | W 78–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Rider Broncs | L 62–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mount St. Mary's Mountaineers | L 63–76 | – | – | matchup |
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Niagara Purple Eagles | W 91–46 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma Sooners | W 89–82 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Creighton Bluejays | W 87–70 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Stanford Cardinal | W 82–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs BYU Cougars | L 48–68 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Niagara Purple Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
West Virginia Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Purple Eagles0-1 8th · L1
- Purple Eagles rating1376 337th of 361, 1 games
- Mountaineers1-0 13th · W1
- Mountaineers rating1580 65th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NIAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NIAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NIAMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $NIAMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Niagara Purple Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 13th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WVUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WVUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WVUMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $WVUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the West Virginia Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Niagara Purple Eagles at West Virginia Mountaineers
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Final: Niagara 46, West Virginia 91. Bandwagon's model had the West Virginia at 85% and projected West Virginia 79, Niagara 67; spread West Virginia −12.5, total 145.5.