Purdue Boilermakers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scorePurdue 72, Gonzaga 78 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerGonzaga 54%
- Pregame Projected scoreGonzaga 74, Purdue 72
- Model spreadGonzaga −2.5 total 145.5
- Margin6 projected 2.3
- Total150 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Purdue Boilermakers or Gonzaga Bulldogs: the bandwagon
Axle 46–54Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| PUR | 33 | 39 | 72 |
| GONZ | 36 | 42 | 78 |
Purdue Boilermakers at Gonzaga Bulldogs win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | PUR | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | PUR26/55 | GONZ23/53 |
| 3-pointers | PUR5/21 | GONZ6/16 |
| Free throws | PUR15/21 | GONZ26/34 |
| Rebounds | PUR31 | GONZ34 |
| Assists | PUR17 | GONZ15 |
| Turnovers | PUR10 | GONZ10 |
| Steals | PUR5 | GONZ4 |
| Blocks | PUR2 | GONZ1 |
| Points in the paint | PUR28 | GONZ28 |
| Fast-break points | PUR6 | GONZ14 |
| Fouls | PUR22 | GONZ19 |
| Largest lead | PUR2 | GONZ11 |
Purdue Boilermakers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | PUR | GONZ |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PUR72 | GONZ78 |
| Average win probability | PUR22% | GONZ78% |
| Longest scoring run | PUR+3 | GONZ+4 |
| Time leading | PUR0:00 | GONZ7:08 |
Purdue Boilermakers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GONZ win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:46 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:41 PM ET | 54% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 54% | +2 |
| Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 2:05 AM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 52% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 52% | +8 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 44% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 44% | −6 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | — |
- Ratings
- GONZ 1690 · PUR 1685
- Home spread
- −2.5 · neutral site, no home advantage
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:36 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:36 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Purdue Boilermakers 72, Gonzaga Bulldogs 78. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage used · none: neutral sitethe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · Neutral sitedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Purdue Boilermakers vs Gonzaga Bulldogs prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bulldogs a 2.5-point favorite, with a 54% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bulldogs 1702 (8th of 361), Boilermakers 1672 (12th). The Bulldogs are 1-0; the Boilermakers are 0-1. The Bulldogs have won 3 of their last 5; the Boilermakers 4 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Bulldogs won 0, the Boilermakers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Purdue Boilermakers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Purdue Boilermakers | W 78–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 64–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas Longhorns | W 79–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Miami Hurricanes | W 79–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Michigan Wolverines | W 80–72 | – | – | matchup |
Gonzaga Bulldogs
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Gonzaga Bulldogs | L 72–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas Longhorns | L 68–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kennesaw State Owls | W 73–64 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Santa Clara Broncos | W 79–68 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oregon State Beavers | W 65–56 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gonzaga Bulldogs at Purdue Boilermakers | 68–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| Purdue Boilermakers at Gonzaga Bulldogs | 73–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| Purdue Boilermakers at Gonzaga Bulldogs | 84–66 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Purdue Boilermakers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Gonzaga Bulldogs: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Boilermakers0-1 18th · L1
- Boilermakers rating1672 12th of 361, 1 games
- Bulldogs1-0 3rd · W1
- Bulldogs rating1702 8th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 18th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $PURMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Purdue Boilermakers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Gonzaga Bulldogs 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $GONZMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Gonzaga Bulldogs bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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