Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Texas State Bobcats: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreTexas A&M-Corpus Christi 55, Texas State 67 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerTexas State 64%
- Pregame Projected scoreTexas State 75, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 70
- Model spreadTexas State −5 total 145.5
- Margin12 projected 4.9
- Total122 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders or Texas State Bobcats: the bandwagon
Axle 36–64Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| AMCC | 26 | 29 | 55 |
| TXST | 35 | 32 | 67 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Texas State Bobcats win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Texas State Bobcats live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | AMCC | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | AMCC21/51 | TXST24/49 |
| 3-pointers | AMCC3/17 | TXST4/13 |
| Free throws | AMCC10/14 | TXST15/21 |
| Rebounds | AMCC27 | TXST26 |
| Assists | AMCC6 | TXST13 |
| Turnovers | AMCC15 | TXST12 |
| Steals | AMCC5 | TXST7 |
| Blocks | AMCC3 | TXST3 |
| Points in the paint | AMCC30 | TXST30 |
| Fast-break points | AMCC4 | TXST8 |
| Fouls | AMCC21 | TXST18 |
| Largest lead | AMCC0 | TXST15 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Texas State Bobcats team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | AMCC | TXST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | AMCC55 | TXST67 |
| Average win probability | AMCC15% | TXST85% |
| Longest scoring run | AMCC+4 | TXST+4 |
| Time leading | AMCC0:00 | TXST10:55 |
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Texas State Bobcats odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TXST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 64% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 64% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 63% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 63% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- TXST 1497 · AMCC 1511
- Home spread
- −5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:31 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders 55, Texas State Bobcats 67. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders vs Texas State Bobcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bobcats a 5-point favorite at home, with a 64% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Bobcats 1511 (159th of 361), Islanders 1497 (180th). The Bobcats are 1-0; the Islanders are 0-1. The Bobcats have won 3 of their last 5; the Islanders 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas State Bobcats | L 55–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | L 58–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs LSU New Orleans Privateers | W 74–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs East Texas A&M Lions | W 84–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northwestern State Demons | W 71–59 | – | – | matchup |
Texas State Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders | W 67–55 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles | L 77–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs App State Mountaineers | W 60–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 54–67 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Alabama Jaguars | W 90–82 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Texas State Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Islanders0-1 12th · L1
- Islanders rating1497 180th of 361, 1 games
- Bobcats1-0 6th · W1
- Bobcats rating1511 159th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 12th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $AMCCMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 6th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TXSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas State Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Texas A&M-Corpus Christi Islanders at Texas State Bobcats
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Final: Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 55, Texas State 67. Bandwagon's model had the Texas State at 64% and projected Texas State 75, Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 70; spread Texas State −5, total 145.5.