Montana State Bobcats vs Colorado State Rams: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreMontana State 74, Colorado State 84 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerColorado State 70%
- Pregame Projected scoreColorado State 76, Montana State 69
- Model spreadColorado State −7 total 145.5
- Margin10 projected 6.9
- Total158 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Montana State Bobcats or Colorado State Rams: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market –
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| MTST | 38 | 36 | 74 |
| CSU | 44 | 40 | 84 |
Montana State Bobcats at Colorado State Rams win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Montana State Bobcats vs Colorado State Rams live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | MTST | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | MTST25/62 | CSU29/54 |
| 3-pointers | MTST12/34 | CSU7/19 |
| Free throws | MTST12/17 | CSU19/22 |
| Rebounds | MTST27 | CSU39 |
| Assists | MTST10 | CSU16 |
| Turnovers | MTST11 | CSU16 |
| Steals | MTST12 | CSU7 |
| Blocks | MTST1 | CSU3 |
| Points in the paint | MTST16 | CSU44 |
| Fast-break points | MTST8 | CSU8 |
| Fouls | MTST23 | CSU15 |
| Largest lead | MTST2 | CSU11 |
Montana State Bobcats vs Colorado State Rams team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | MTST | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | MTST74 | CSU84 |
| Average win probability | MTST19% | CSU81% |
| Longest scoring run | MTST+3 | CSU+7 |
| Time leading | MTST1:56 | CSU24:38 |
Montana State Bobcats vs Colorado State Rams odds
Every stored line
| Stored | CSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:19 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 70% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 72% | +7 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- CSU 1560 · MTST 1522
- Home spread
- −7
- Stored
- Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET · 2026-11-03 05:00 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Montana State Bobcats 74, Colorado State Rams 84. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Montana State Bobcats vs Colorado State Rams prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Rams a 7-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Rams 1570 (70th of 361), Bobcats 1513 (153rd). The Rams are 0-0; the Bobcats are 0-0. The Rams have won 2 of their last 5; the Bobcats 3 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Montana State Bobcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Colorado State Rams | L 74–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Idaho Vandals | L 74–78 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northern Arizona Lumberjacks | W 76–65 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sacramento State Hornets | W 82–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Portland State Vikings | W 84–69 | – | – | matchup |
Colorado State Rams
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Montana State Bobcats | W 84–74 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Saint Joseph's Hawks | L 64–69 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San Diego State Aztecs | L 62–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Fresno State Bulldogs | W 67–63 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Boise State Broncos | L 67–78 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Montana State Bobcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Colorado State Rams: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Bobcats0-0 5th · -
- Bobcats rating1513 153rd of 361, 1 games
- Rams0-0 2nd · -
- Rams rating1570 70th of 361, 1 games
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak -
No stances yet today on $MTSTMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Montana State Bobcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak -
No stances yet today on $CSUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colorado State Rams bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Final: Montana State 74, Colorado State 84. Bandwagon's model had the Colorado State at 70% and projected Colorado State 76, Montana State 69; spread Colorado State −7, total 145.5.