Cornell Big Red lead Pepperdine Waves 46-40 at halftime, a 6-point margin for the home side. The model gives Cornell a 83% chance right now, and no crowd picks are in yet.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Newman Arena · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Pepperdine Waves vs Cornell Big Red: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scorePepperdine 85, Cornell 86 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerCornell 83%
- Pregame Projected scoreCornell 78, Pepperdine 67
- Model spreadCornell −11.5 total 145.5
- Margin1 projected 11.3
- Total171 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Pepperdine Waves or Cornell Big Red: the bandwagon
Axle 17–83Market –
FinalPregame: COR 83%Baseline: COR 88.9% (+6.4)Big swing: 44.1 ptsClutch window: 3:20
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| PEPP | 40 | 45 | 85 |
| COR | 46 | 40 | 86 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Pepperdine Waves at Cornell Big Red win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to PEPP−39.6 points for COR over the last 5:00
Big swing44.1 ptstoward COR at 39:32 of game time
Clutch window3:20within 5 points in the final half
BaselineCOR 88.9%game average, +6.4 points from the pregame 82.5%
Pepperdine Waves vs Cornell Big Red live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | PEPP | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | PEPP29/66 | COR33/64 |
| 3-pointers | PEPP8/30 | COR14/29 |
| Free throws | PEPP19/28 | COR6/10 |
| Rebounds | PEPP38 | COR32 |
| Assists | PEPP12 | COR22 |
| Turnovers | PEPP13 | COR16 |
| Steals | PEPP13 | COR8 |
| Blocks | PEPP3 | COR4 |
| Points in the paint | PEPP36 | COR38 |
| Fast-break points | PEPP10 | COR16 |
| Fouls | PEPP15 | COR23 |
| Largest lead | PEPP3 | COR15 |
Pepperdine Waves vs Cornell Big Red team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | PEPP | COR |
|---|---|---|
| Score | PEPP85 | COR86 |
| Average win probability | PEPP11% | COR89% |
| Longest scoring run | PEPP+8 | COR+6 |
| Time leading | PEPP4:17 | COR30:35 |
Pepperdine Waves vs Cornell Big Red odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET
Waves17%
Win chanceBig Red83%
SpreadCOR −11.5closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+473away / −473homeaway / home
Line movementCOR win chance, 12 stored lines
+18 pts for COR between Oct 29 and Nov 2
92%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | COR win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:08 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:25 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 12:08 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 87% | +22 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- COR 1546 · PEPP 1392
- Home spread
- −11.5
- Stored
- Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET · 2026-11-03 00:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Pepperdine Waves 85, Cornell Big Red 86. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
WavesBig Red
Neutrals only–
WavesBig Red
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Big Red–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Pepperdine Waves vs Cornell Big Red prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Big Red a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Big Red 1547 (92nd of 361), Waves 1391 (330th). The Big Red are 1-0; the Waves are 0-1. The Big Red have won 4 of their last 5; the Waves 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Pepperdine Waves
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Cornell Big Red | L 85–86 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Portland Pilots | L 68–77 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Washington State Cougars | W 88–79 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Seattle U Redhawks | L 80–87 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon State Beavers | L 73–83 | – | – | matchup |
Cornell Big Red
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Pepperdine Waves | W 86–85 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Yale Bulldogs | L 76–88 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Dartmouth Big Green | W 111–90 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brown Bears | W 86–80 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Yale Bulldogs | W 72–69 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Pepperdine Waves: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Cornell Big Red: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Waves0-1 8th · L1
- Waves rating1391 330th of 361, 1 games
- Big Red1-0 1st · W1
- Big Red rating1547 92nd of 361, 1 games
Pepperdine Waves 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $PEPPMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $PEPPMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $PEPPMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $PEPPMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Pepperdine Waves bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Cornell Big Red 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 1st · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CORMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CORMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CORMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CORMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Cornell Big Red bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Pepperdine Waves at Cornell Big Red
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