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NCAA Men's Basketball · · Hec Edmundson Pavilion · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line

Colgate Raiders vs Washington Huskies: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

Colgate Raiders or Washington Huskies: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

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Axle 30–70Market –

FinalPregame: WASH 70%Baseline: WASH 77.9% (+8.0)Big swing: 13.6 ptsClutch window: 4:13
Record 0-1
76+3890+47
Record 1-0
Score by period
Team12T
COLG383876
WASH434790
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
–

Colgate Raiders at Washington Huskies win probability

Bandwagon's model
Last update: 2nd halfFetched at
Win probability for WASH: 70 points, 70% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00WASH 100%COLG 0%
Win probability for WASH: 70 points, 70% at the start, 100% at the end.0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0020:0040:00WASH 100%COLG 0%

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

MomentumStable+0.3 points for WASH over the last 5:00
Big swing13.6 ptstoward COLG at 8:01 of game time
Clutch window4:13within 5 points in the final half
BaselineWASH 77.9%game average, +8.0 points from the pregame 69.9%

Colgate Raiders vs Washington Huskies live stats

Team totals read from the league's public game summary
Live team statistics
StatCOLGWASH
Field goalsCOLG27/62WASH25/54
3-pointersCOLG7/22WASH10/28
Free throwsCOLG13/26WASH30/36
ReboundsCOLG35WASH34
AssistsCOLG15WASH10
TurnoversCOLG10WASH10
StealsCOLG4WASH6
BlocksCOLG2WASH5
Points in the paintCOLG32WASH26
Fast-break pointsCOLG0WASH16
FoulsCOLG23WASH24
Largest leadCOLG5WASH16

Colgate Raiders vs Washington Huskies team breakdown

From the stored in-game series
Team breakdown
StatCOLGWASH
ScoreCOLG76WASH90
Average win probabilityCOLG22%WASH78%
Longest scoring runCOLG+4WASH+7
Time leadingCOLG9:08WASH22:42

Colgate Raiders vs Washington Huskies odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET
Raiders30%
Win chance
Huskies70%
SpreadWASH −7closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+233away / −233homeaway / home
Line movementWASH win chance, 23 stored lines
+5 pts for WASH between Oct 29 and Nov 3
77%60%
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: WASH 65%Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET: WASH 72%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: WASH 72%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: WASH 72%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET: WASH 70%Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET: WASH 70%Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET: WASH 70%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 3
Every stored line
StoredWASH winMove
Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET70%0
Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET70%0
Nov 2, 11:35 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 11:04 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 10:38 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 10:17 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 10:12 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:57 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:21 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 9:01 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 8:56 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 8:31 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 4:48 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 1:55 PM ET70%0
Nov 2, 8:05 AM ET70%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET70%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET70%−2
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET72%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET72%0
Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET72%+7
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET65%—
Ratings
WASH 1526 · COLG 1491
Home spread
−7
Stored
Nov 3, 12:00 AM ET · 2026-11-03 05:00 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Result: Colgate Raiders 76, Washington Huskies 90. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
  • Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

RaidersHuskies
Neutrals only–
RaidersHuskies
Picks locked at kickoff.
Bandwagon minus model, Huskies–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

Colgate Raiders vs Washington Huskies prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Huskies a 7-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Huskies 1538 (108th of 361), Raiders 1479 (213th). The Huskies are 1-0; the Raiders are 0-1. The Huskies have won 3 of their last 5; the Raiders 1 of their last 5.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

Colgate Raiders

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at Washington HuskiesL 76–90––matchup
at Lehigh Mountain HawksL 69–76––matchup
vs Loyola Maryland GreyhoundsW 90–77––matchup
at Navy MidshipmenL 69–85––matchup
vs Lafayette LeopardsL 69–70––matchup

Washington Huskies

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
vs Colgate RaidersW 90–76––matchup
at Wisconsin BadgersL 82–85––matchup
vs USC TrojansW 83–79––matchup
at Oregon DucksL 79–85––matchup
vs USC TrojansW 91–72––matchup

Head-to-head

No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.

Injuries

Colgate Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Washington Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Raiders0-1 5th · L1
  • Raiders rating1479 213th of 361, 1 games
  • Huskies1-0 14th · W1
  • Huskies rating1538 108th of 361, 1 games

Colgate Raiders 0-1

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 5th · streak L1

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No stances yet today on $COLGMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Colgate Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Raiders roster, schedule and more

Washington Huskies 1-0

NCAA Division I men's basketball · 14th · streak W1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $WASHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $WASHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $WASHMBB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $WASHMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Washington Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Huskies roster, schedule and more

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