Elon Phoenix lead Columbia Lions 7-2 with 17:29 left in the first. The model has Columbia Lions at 71% to win, but no crowd picks are in yet, so the scoreboard is the only read right now.
NCAA Men's Basketball · · Levien Gymnasium · every NCAA Division I men's basketball line
Elon Phoenix vs Columbia Lions: final score and how the prediction did, November 2, 2026
- Final scoreElon 84, Columbia 71 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerColumbia 71%
- Pregame Projected scoreColumbia 76, Elon 69
- Model spreadColumbia −7 total 145.5
- Margin13 projected 7.2
- Total155 projected 145.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Elon Phoenix or Columbia Lions: the bandwagon
Axle 29–71Market –
FinalPregame: COLU 71%Baseline: COLU 24.2% (−47.1)Big swing: 56.9 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | T |
|---|---|---|---|
| ELON | 40 | 44 | 84 |
| COLU | 28 | 43 | 71 |
Game clock
Final
Situation
Final
Possession
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Elon Phoenix at Columbia Lions win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.0 points for COLU over the last 5:00
Big swing56.9 ptstoward ELON at 20:00 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 5 points in the final half
BaselineCOLU 24.2%game average, −47.1 points from the pregame 71.3%
Elon Phoenix vs Columbia Lions live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ELON | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Field goals | ELON33/60 | COLU27/57 |
| 3-pointers | ELON7/12 | COLU2/9 |
| Free throws | ELON11/12 | COLU15/20 |
| Rebounds | ELON31 | COLU31 |
| Assists | ELON22 | COLU13 |
| Turnovers | ELON13 | COLU13 |
| Steals | ELON7 | COLU6 |
| Blocks | ELON7 | COLU7 |
| Points in the paint | ELON50 | COLU38 |
| Fast-break points | ELON4 | COLU10 |
| Fouls | ELON18 | COLU15 |
| Largest lead | ELON18 | COLU0 |
Elon Phoenix vs Columbia Lions team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ELON | COLU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ELON84 | COLU71 |
| Average win probability | ELON76% | COLU24% |
| Longest scoring run | ELON+3 | COLU+5 |
| Time leading | ELON20:00 | COLU0:00 |
Elon Phoenix vs Columbia Lions odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET
Phoenix29%
Win chanceLions71%
SpreadCOLU −7closing model spread
Total145.5
Moneyline+249away / −249homeaway / home
Line movementCOLU win chance, 12 stored lines
+6 pts for COLU between Oct 29 and Nov 2
79%60%
Oct 29Oct 31Nov 2
Every stored line
| Stored | COLU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:21 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:16 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 8:11 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:41 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 71% | −2 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:27 PM ET | 73% | +8 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 65% | — |
- Ratings
- COLU 1487 · ELON 1441
- Home spread
- −7
- Stored
- Nov 2, 9:06 PM ET · 2026-11-03 02:06 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Elon Phoenix 84, Columbia Lions 71. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I men's basketball a line starts from the ratings and adds the internal inputs marked used (rest, back-to-back, recent form) through a calibration layer fitted on past NCAA Division I men's basketball seasons, which beat rating-only out of sample. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule unavailable for this game · First game of a season for at least one siderest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form unavailable for this game · Fewer than three games played this season by at least one sideaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:29 PM UTC
- Weather unavailable for this game · Indoor sportforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
PhoenixLions
Neutrals only–
PhoenixLions
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Lions–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Elon Phoenix vs Columbia Lions prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Lions a 7-point favorite at home, with a 71% chance to win. The model total is 145.5. Ratings: Lions 1458 (244th of 361), Phoenix 1470 (227th). The Lions are 0-1; the Phoenix are 1-0. The Lions have won 1 of their last 5; the Phoenix 1 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Elon Phoenix
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Columbia Lions | W 84–71 | – | – | matchup | |
| at William & Mary Tribe | L 62–72 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UNC Wilmington Seahawks | L 57–76 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Monmouth Hawks | L 57–73 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Towson Tigers | L 56–58 | – | – | matchup |
Columbia Lions
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Elon Phoenix | L 71–84 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Harvard Crimson | L 71–81 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Yale Bulldogs | L 54–60 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Brown Bears | W 80–62 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Dartmouth Big Green | L 63–64 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Elon Phoenix: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Columbia Lions: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Phoenix1-0 2nd · W1
- Phoenix rating1470 227th of 361, 1 games
- Lions0-1 8th · L1
- Lions rating1458 244th of 361, 1 games
Elon Phoenix 1-0
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 2nd · streak W1
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No stances yet today on $ELONMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Elon Phoenix bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Columbia Lions 0-1
NCAA Division I men's basketball · 8th · streak L1
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No stances yet today on $COLUMBB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Columbia Lions bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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