Odds · Bandwagon model

NCAA Division I FBS football odds this week

Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I FBS football predictions · Standings · every league

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Wednesday, November 4

3 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Cardinals at Minutemen	Wed 7:00 PM	Minutemen 52%	Minutemen −0.5	52.5	+108 / −108	no move	Matchup
Rockets at Hornets	Wed 7:00 PM	Rockets 83%	Rockets −15.5	53.5	−476 / +476	no move	Matchup
Chippewas at Eagles neutral site	Wed 7:30 PM	Chippewas 54%	Chippewas −1.5	50	−119 / +119	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Thursday, November 5

2 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Roadrunners at Owls	Thu 7:30 PM	Roadrunners 78%	Roadrunners −12.5	61	−349 / +349	no move	Matchup
Dukes at Golden Eagles	Thu 8:00 PM	Dukes 88%	Dukes −20	55	−760 / +760	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Friday, November 6

5 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Hokies at Mustangs	Fri 7:00 PM	Mustangs 78%	Mustangs −12	54	+347 / −347	no move	Matchup
Bulls at Pirates	Fri 7:30 PM	Bulls 56%	Bulls −2.5	47	−130 / +130	no move	Matchup
Cornhuskers at Fighting Illini	Fri 8:00 PM	Fighting Illini 61%	Fighting Illini −4.5	52	+156 / −156	no move	Matchup
Lobos at Wolf Pack	Fri 9:00 PM	Lobos 74%	Lobos −10.5	48.5	−286 / +286	no move	Matchup
Horned Frogs at Wildcats	Fri 10:15 PM	Wildcats 75%	Wildcats −10.5	48	+298 / −298	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Saturday, November 7

50 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Cougars at Utes	Sat 12:00 PM	Utes 70%	Utes −8.5	51	+233 / −233	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Orange	Sat 12:00 PM	Tigers 71%	Tigers −8.5	52	−240 / +240	no move	Matchup
Seminoles at Eagles	Sat 12:00 PM	Eagles 60%	Eagles −4	55	+152 / −152	no move	Matchup
Cyclones at Bears	Sat 12:00 PM	Bears 65%	Bears −6	52.5	+188 / −188	no move	Matchup
Longhorns at Tigers	Sat 12:00 PM	Longhorns 55%	Longhorns −2	50	−124 / +124	no move	Matchup
Golden Hurricane at Green Wave	Sat 12:00 PM	Green Wave 84%	Green Wave −16.5	52.5	+533 / −533	no move	Matchup
Bruins at Golden Gophers	Sat 12:00 PM	Bruins 59%	Bruins −3.5	48.5	−146 / +146	no move	Matchup
Tar Heels at Huskies	Sat 12:00 PM	Huskies 63%	Huskies −5	54	+168 / −168	no move	Matchup
Blue Devils at Wolfpack	Sat 12:30 PM	Blue Devils 63%	Blue Devils −5	51	−171 / +171	no move	Matchup
Terrapins at Boilermakers	Sat 12:30 PM	Boilermakers 69%	Boilermakers −8	57	+226 / −226	no move	Matchup
Razorbacks at Tigers	Sat 12:45 PM	Tigers 70%	Tigers −8	51	+231 / −231	no move	Matchup
Monarchs at Chanticleers	Sat 1:00 PM	Chanticleers 62%	Chanticleers −4.5	50.5	+161 / −161	no move	Matchup
Cowboys at Wildcats	Sat 1:00 PM	Wildcats 70%	Wildcats −8.5	57.5	+237 / −237	no move	Matchup
Panthers at Mountaineers	Sat 2:30 PM	Mountaineers 70%	Mountaineers −8.5	53.5	+234 / −234	no move	Matchup
Blue Hens at Owls	Sat 3:00 PM	Blue Hens 51%	Blue Hens −0.5	53	−104 / +104	no move	Matchup
Aggies at Gamecocks	Sat 3:00 PM	Gamecocks 65%	Gamecocks −6	54.5	+185 / −185	no move	Matchup
Warhawks at Red Wolves	Sat 3:00 PM	Red Wolves 88%	Red Wolves −19.5	54.5	+738 / −738	no move	Matchup
Crimson Tide at Tigers	Sat 3:30 PM	Tigers 55%	Tigers −2	55	+121 / −121	no move	Matchup
Bearcats at Cougars	Sat 3:30 PM	Cougars 75%	Cougars −11	56	+307 / −307	no move	Matchup
49ers at Blazers	Sat 3:30 PM	Blazers 81%	Blazers −14.5	52.5	+427 / −427	no move	Matchup
Thundering Herd at Eagles	Sat 3:30 PM	Eagles 58%	Eagles −3	50.5	+139 / −139	no move	Matchup
Ducks at Buckeyes	Sat 3:30 PM	Buckeyes 74%	Buckeyes −10	52	+279 / −279	no move	Matchup
Nittany Lions at Huskies	Sat 3:30 PM	Huskies 66%	Huskies −6.5	49.5	+197 / −197	no move	Matchup
Owls at Midshipmen	Sat 3:30 PM	Midshipmen 82%	Midshipmen −15	53.5	+459 / −459	no move	Matchup
Hilltoppers at Blue Raiders	Sat 3:30 PM	Hilltoppers 53%	Hilltoppers −1.5	53	−114 / +114	no move	Matchup
Knights at Jayhawks	Sat 3:45 PM	Jayhawks 59%	Jayhawks −3.5	52.5	+146 / −146	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Trojans	Sat 4:00 PM	Bulldogs 61%	Bulldogs −4.5	50	−157 / +157	no move	Matchup
Bears at Panthers	Sat 4:00 PM	Panthers 67%	Panthers −7	50	+203 / −203	no move	Matchup
Huskies at Spartans	Sat 4:00 PM	Spartans 79%	Spartans −13	50	+375 / −375	no move	Matchup
Owls at Mean Green	Sat 4:00 PM	Mean Green 95%	Mean Green −28.5	60.5	+1784 / −1784	no move	Matchup
Scarlet Knights at Badgers	Sat 4:15 PM	Badgers 83%	Badgers −15.5	51.5	+487 / −487	no move	Matchup
Commodores at Bulldogs	Sat 4:15 PM	Bulldogs 56%	Bulldogs −2.5	54.5	+129 / −129	no move	Matchup
Jaguars at Ragin' Cajuns	Sat 5:00 PM	Ragin' Cajuns 73%	Ragin' Cajuns −10	57	+275 / −275	no move	Matchup
Broncos at Rams	Sat 6:00 PM	Broncos 91%	Broncos −23	62	−1047 / +1047	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Volunteers	Sat 6:15 PM	Volunteers 70%	Volunteers −8	52.5	+228 / −228	no move	Matchup
Bearkats at Gamecocks	Sat 7:00 PM	Gamecocks 94%	Gamecocks −27.5	47.5	+1675 / −1675	no move	Matchup
Falcons at Black Knights	Sat 7:30 PM	Black Knights 67%	Black Knights −7	55	+204 / −204	no move	Matchup
Buffaloes at Sun Devils	Sat 7:30 PM	Sun Devils 82%	Sun Devils −14.5	52.5	+448 / −448	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Rebels	Sat 7:30 PM	Rebels 50%	PK	56	+101 / −101	no move	Matchup
Hawkeyes at Wildcats	Sat 7:30 PM	Hawkeyes 57%	Hawkeyes −3	49	−134 / +134	no move	Matchup
Cardinals at Yellow Jackets	Sat 7:30 PM	Cardinals 80%	Cardinals −13.5	58	−398 / +398	no move	Matchup
Hurricanes at Fighting Irish	Sat 7:30 PM	Fighting Irish 54%	Fighting Irish −2	56	+120 / −120	no move	Matchup
Spartans at Wolverines	Sat 7:30 PM	Wolverines 89%	Wolverines −20.5	46	+797 / −797	no move	Matchup
Sooners at Gators	Sat 7:45 PM	Gators 53%	Gators −1	53.5	+113 / −113	no move	Matchup
Flames at Aggies	Sat 8:00 PM	Flames 82%	Flames −14.5	49	−443 / +443	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Aggies	Sat 9:30 PM	Bulldogs 61%	Bulldogs −4	47.5	−153 / +153	no move	Matchup
Rainbow Warriors at Miners	Sat 9:30 PM	Rainbow Warriors 74%	Rainbow Warriors −10.5	49.5	−288 / +288	no move	Matchup
Mountaineers at Red Raiders	Sat 9:30 PM	Red Raiders 89%	Red Raiders −20.5	59.5	+795 / −795	no move	Matchup
Bobcats at Beavers	Sat 10:30 PM	Bobcats 55%	Bobcats −2	61.5	−122 / +122	no move	Matchup
Cowboys at Rebels	Sat 10:30 PM	Rebels 78%	Rebels −12.5	48	+351 / −351	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Tuesday, November 10

3 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Golden Flashes at Falcons	Tue 7:00 PM	Falcons 69%	Falcons −8	49	+223 / −223	no move	Matchup
Broncos at Zips	Tue 7:00 PM	Broncos 88%	Broncos −19	49.5	−704 / +704	no move	Matchup
Bobcats at RedHawks	Tue 8:00 PM	Bobcats 67%	Bobcats −7	53.5	−202 / +202	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Wednesday, November 11

3 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Bulls at Cardinals	Wed 12:00 AM	Bulls 70%	Bulls −8.5	53.5	−234 / +234	no move	Matchup
Minutemen at Rockets	Wed 12:00 AM	Rockets 93%	Rockets −25	54	+1266 / −1266	no move	Matchup
Hornets at Chippewas	Wed 7:30 PM	Chippewas 76%	Chippewas −11	49.5	+312 / −312	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Thursday, November 12

2 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Tigers at Bulls	Thu 8:00 PM	Bulls 57%	Bulls −2.5	50.5	+131 / −131	no move	Matchup
Ragin' Cajuns at Warhawks	Thu 9:00 PM	Ragin' Cajuns 83%	Ragin' Cajuns −15.5	53.5	−486 / +486	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Friday, November 13

3 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Seminoles at Panthers	Fri 7:00 PM	Panthers 76%	Panthers −11.5	55	+316 / −316	no move	Matchup
Fighting Illini at Bruins	Fri 9:00 PM	Bruins 71%	Bruins −9	51	+246 / −246	no move	Matchup
Cougars at Buffaloes	Fri 10:15 PM	Cougars 81%	Cougars −14	51.5	−427 / +427	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Saturday, November 14

56 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Sun Devils at Knights	Sat 12:00 AM	Sun Devils 57%	Sun Devils −2.5	53.5	−131 / +131	no move	Matchup
Bears at Cougars	Sat 12:00 AM	Cougars 81%	Cougars −14	49.5	+415 / −415	no move	Matchup
Bearcats at Cyclones	Sat 12:00 AM	Cyclones 61%	Cyclones −4	57	+154 / −154	no move	Matchup
Gators at Wildcats	Sat 12:00 AM	Wildcats 72%	Wildcats −9	58	+256 / −256	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Horned Frogs	Sat 12:00 AM	Horned Frogs 68%	Horned Frogs −7	46.5	+209 / −209	no move	Matchup
Jayhawks at Mountaineers	Sat 12:00 AM	Mountaineers 67%	Mountaineers −7	57.5	+199 / −199	no move	Matchup
Cardinals at Tar Heels	Sat 12:00 AM	Cardinals 69%	Cardinals −7.5	56.5	−218 / +218	no move	Matchup
Rebels at Sooners	Sat 12:00 AM	Rebels 70%	Rebels −8.5	52.5	−237 / +237	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Bulldogs	Sat 12:00 AM	Bulldogs 80%	Bulldogs −13.5	52	+403 / −403	no move	Matchup
Boilermakers at Hawkeyes	Sat 12:00 AM	Hawkeyes 92%	Hawkeyes −24.5	51.5	+1194 / −1194	no move	Matchup
Cardinal at Hokies	Sat 12:00 AM	Hokies 76%	Hokies −11.5	55	+320 / −320	no move	Matchup
Volunteers at Aggies	Sat 12:00 AM	Volunteers 59%	Volunteers −3.5	49.5	−141 / +141	no move	Matchup
Longhorns at Tigers	Sat 12:00 AM	Tigers 50%	PK	51.5	+101 / −101	no move	Matchup
Red Raiders at Cowboys	Sat 12:00 AM	Red Raiders 81%	Red Raiders −14.5	59.5	−434 / +434	no move	Matchup
Utes at Wildcats	Sat 12:00 AM	Utes 60%	Utes −4	53.5	−153 / +153	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Bulldogs	Sat 12:00 PM	Bulldogs 57%	Bulldogs −2.5	53	+132 / −132	no move	Matchup
Blue Devils at Hurricanes	Sat 12:00 PM	Hurricanes 84%	Hurricanes −16	53	+521 / −521	no move	Matchup
Dukes at Huskies	Sat 12:00 PM	Dukes 74%	Dukes −10	55	−280 / +280	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Buckeyes	Sat 12:00 PM	Buckeyes 86%	Buckeyes −17.5	52.5	+604 / −604	no move	Matchup
Orange at Wolfpack	Sat 12:00 PM	Wolfpack 77%	Wolfpack −11.5	55	+329 / −329	no move	Matchup
Demon Deacons at Mustangs	Sat 12:00 PM	Mustangs 56%	Mustangs −2.5	55	+128 / −128	no move	Matchup
Badgers at Terrapins	Sat 12:00 PM	Badgers 76%	Badgers −11	51	−313 / +313	no move	Matchup
Yellow Jackets at Tigers	Sat 12:30 PM	Tigers 85%	Tigers −17	52	+554 / −554	no move	Matchup
Cornhuskers at Scarlet Knights	Sat 12:30 PM	Cornhuskers 71%	Cornhuskers −8.5	54	−243 / +243	no move	Matchup
Crimson Tide at Commodores	Sat 12:45 PM	Crimson Tide 76%	Crimson Tide −11.5	55.5	−325 / +325	no move	Matchup
Red Wolves at Chanticleers	Sat 1:00 PM	Chanticleers 50%	PK	53.5	−101 / +101	no move	Matchup
Pirates at 49ers	Sat 1:00 PM	Pirates 79%	Pirates −13	53	−381 / +381	no move	Matchup
Blazers at Owls	Sat 1:00 PM	Blazers 55%	Blazers −2	50.5	−125 / +125	no move	Matchup
Owls at Bearkats	Sat 2:00 PM	Owls 72%	Owls −9.5	48.5	−258 / +258	no move	Matchup
Green Wave at Owls	Sat 2:00 PM	Green Wave 83%	Green Wave −15.5	52.5	−484 / +484	no move	Matchup
Panthers at Blue Hens	Sat 3:00 PM	Blue Hens 69%	Blue Hens −8	51	+221 / −221	no move	Matchup
Aggies at Bears	Sat 3:00 PM	Bears 66%	Bears −6.5	51	+194 / −194	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Fighting Irish	Sat 3:30 PM	Fighting Irish 94%	Fighting Irish −27.5	52.5	+1677 / −1677	no move	Matchup
Golden Bears at Cavaliers	Sat 3:30 PM	Cavaliers 78%	Cavaliers −12.5	51.5	+354 / −354	no move	Matchup
Owls at Golden Hurricane	Sat 3:30 PM	Golden Hurricane 50%	PK	60	+101 / −101	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Panthers	Sat 3:30 PM	Eagles 65%	Eagles −6	53	−187 / +187	no move	Matchup
Gamecocks at Hilltoppers	Sat 3:30 PM	Gamecocks 66%	Gamecocks −6.5	50.5	−195 / +195	no move	Matchup
Wolverines at Ducks	Sat 3:30 PM	Ducks 72%	Ducks −9	48	+256 / −256	no move	Matchup
Blue Raiders at Flames	Sat 3:30 PM	Flames 90%	Flames −21.5	51.5	+907 / −907	no move	Matchup
Wolf Pack at Huskies	Sat 3:30 PM	Wolf Pack 72%	Wolf Pack −9.5	52	−260 / +260	no move	Matchup
Trojans at Hoosiers	Sat 3:30 PM	Hoosiers 81%	Hoosiers −14.5	51	+436 / −436	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Bobcats	Sat 4:00 PM	Bobcats 53%	Bobcats −1.5	57	+114 / −114	no move	Matchup
Huskies at Spartans	Sat 4:15 PM	Huskies 79%	Huskies −13	48.5	−367 / +367	no move	Matchup
Golden Eagles at Bulldogs	Sat 5:00 PM	Bulldogs 86%	Bulldogs −17.5	53.5	+608 / −608	no move	Matchup
Mountaineers at Thundering Herd	Sat 6:00 PM	Thundering Herd 73%	Thundering Herd −10	51	+275 / −275	no move	Matchup
Beavers at Broncos	Sat 6:00 PM	Broncos 89%	Broncos −20	58.5	+783 / −783	no move	Matchup
Golden Gophers at Nittany Lions	Sat 7:00 PM	Nittany Lions 68%	Nittany Lions −7.5	48.5	+213 / −213	no move	Matchup
Spartans at Falcons	Sat 7:00 PM	Falcons 82%	Falcons −14.5	49.5	+444 / −444	no move	Matchup
Trojans at Jaguars	Sat 7:00 PM	Jaguars 57%	Jaguars −2.5	55.5	+131 / −131	no move	Matchup
Rebels at Lobos	Sat 7:30 PM	Lobos 68%	Lobos −7.5	49	+216 / −216	no move	Matchup
Gamecocks at Razorbacks	Sat 7:45 PM	Gamecocks 69%	Gamecocks −8	54.5	−223 / +223	no move	Matchup
Mean Green at Roadrunners	Sat 9:00 PM	Roadrunners 65%	Roadrunners −6	61.5	+184 / −184	no move	Matchup
Aggies at Aztecs	Sat 9:30 PM	Aztecs 51%	Aztecs −0.5	50.5	+104 / −104	no move	Matchup
Cowboys at Miners	Sat 10:00 PM	Cowboys 80%	Cowboys −13.5	48.5	−396 / +396	no move	Matchup
Rams at Cougars	Sat 10:30 PM	Cougars 68%	Cougars −7.5	58	+212 / −212	no move	Matchup
Bison at Rainbow Warriors	Sat 11:00 PM	Bison 70%	Bison −8.5	47	−233 / +233	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Tuesday, November 17

3 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Cardinals at Bobcats	Tue 7:00 PM	Bobcats 92%	Bobcats −24	54	+1167 / −1167	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Broncos	Tue 7:00 PM	Broncos 86%	Broncos −17.5	49	+596 / −596	no move	Matchup
RedHawks at Golden Flashes	Tue 7:00 PM	RedHawks 65%	RedHawks −6.5	51	−189 / +189	no move	Matchup

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Wednesday, November 18

2 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Zips at Minutemen	Wed 12:00 AM	Minutemen 64%	Minutemen −5.5	51	+177 / −177	no move	Matchup
Chippewas at Bulls	Wed 12:00 AM	Bulls 73%	Bulls −10	50.5	+272 / −272	no move	Matchup

How these lines are made

In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal inputs

Ratings from results used in 132 of 132
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
Home advantage used in 132 of 132
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
Schedule in the data but not used for 132
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
Recent form in the data but not used for 132
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External inputs

Injuries unavailable for 132 (No injury list read before this game; More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 44 · unavailable for 88 (Neutral site; No venue coordinates stored for the home side)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
Weather in the data but not used for 66 · unavailable for 66 (Neutral site; No forecast stored before kickoff)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · newest read Nov 4, 10:02 AM UTC

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

NCAA Division I FBS football team ratings

The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.

#	Team	Rating	Games
1	Indiana Hoosiers	1834	8
2	Miami Hurricanes	1812	7
3	Georgia Bulldogs	1795	7
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	1786	8
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1782	8
6	Utah Utes	1769	7
7	Ole Miss Rebels	1742	8
8	Texas Longhorns	1739	8
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	1713	8
10	BYU Cougars	1705	7
11	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1703	7
12	Oregon Ducks	1697	7

Top 12 of 138; every team's rating is on its page.

NCAA Division I FBS football model record

Over 2909 NCAA Division I FBS football games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 70% of the time, Brier score 0.1935, mean spread error 13.457 points, mean total error 13.063. Calibration and method.

Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I FBS football games this week: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.