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NCAA Division I FBS football odds Saturday, November 7

Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I FBS football predictions · Standings · every league

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Saturday, November 7

50 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Cougars at Utes	Sat 12:00 PM	Utes 70%	Utes −8.5	51	+233 / −233	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Orange	Sat 12:00 PM	Tigers 71%	Tigers −8.5	52	−240 / +240	no move	Matchup
Seminoles at Eagles	Sat 12:00 PM	Eagles 60%	Eagles −4	55	+152 / −152	no move	Matchup
Cyclones at Bears	Sat 12:00 PM	Bears 65%	Bears −6	52.5	+188 / −188	no move	Matchup
Longhorns at Tigers	Sat 12:00 PM	Longhorns 55%	Longhorns −2	50	−124 / +124	no move	Matchup
Golden Hurricane at Green Wave	Sat 12:00 PM	Green Wave 84%	Green Wave −16.5	52.5	+533 / −533	no move	Matchup
Bruins at Golden Gophers	Sat 12:00 PM	Bruins 59%	Bruins −3.5	48.5	−146 / +146	no move	Matchup
Tar Heels at Huskies	Sat 12:00 PM	Huskies 63%	Huskies −5	54	+168 / −168	no move	Matchup
Blue Devils at Wolfpack	Sat 12:30 PM	Blue Devils 63%	Blue Devils −5	51	−171 / +171	no move	Matchup
Terrapins at Boilermakers	Sat 12:30 PM	Boilermakers 69%	Boilermakers −8	57	+226 / −226	no move	Matchup
Razorbacks at Tigers	Sat 12:45 PM	Tigers 70%	Tigers −8	51	+231 / −231	no move	Matchup
Monarchs at Chanticleers	Sat 1:00 PM	Chanticleers 62%	Chanticleers −4.5	50.5	+161 / −161	no move	Matchup
Cowboys at Wildcats	Sat 1:00 PM	Wildcats 70%	Wildcats −8.5	57.5	+237 / −237	no move	Matchup
Panthers at Mountaineers	Sat 2:30 PM	Mountaineers 70%	Mountaineers −8.5	53.5	+234 / −234	no move	Matchup
Blue Hens at Owls	Sat 3:00 PM	Blue Hens 51%	Blue Hens −0.5	53	−104 / +104	no move	Matchup
Aggies at Gamecocks	Sat 3:00 PM	Gamecocks 65%	Gamecocks −6	54.5	+185 / −185	no move	Matchup
Warhawks at Red Wolves	Sat 3:00 PM	Red Wolves 88%	Red Wolves −19.5	54.5	+738 / −738	no move	Matchup
Crimson Tide at Tigers	Sat 3:30 PM	Tigers 55%	Tigers −2	55	+121 / −121	no move	Matchup
Bearcats at Cougars	Sat 3:30 PM	Cougars 75%	Cougars −11	56	+307 / −307	no move	Matchup
49ers at Blazers	Sat 3:30 PM	Blazers 81%	Blazers −14.5	52.5	+427 / −427	no move	Matchup
Thundering Herd at Eagles	Sat 3:30 PM	Eagles 58%	Eagles −3	50.5	+139 / −139	no move	Matchup
Ducks at Buckeyes	Sat 3:30 PM	Buckeyes 74%	Buckeyes −10	52	+279 / −279	no move	Matchup
Nittany Lions at Huskies	Sat 3:30 PM	Huskies 66%	Huskies −6.5	49.5	+197 / −197	no move	Matchup
Owls at Midshipmen	Sat 3:30 PM	Midshipmen 82%	Midshipmen −15	53.5	+459 / −459	no move	Matchup
Hilltoppers at Blue Raiders	Sat 3:30 PM	Hilltoppers 53%	Hilltoppers −1.5	53	−114 / +114	no move	Matchup
Knights at Jayhawks	Sat 3:45 PM	Jayhawks 59%	Jayhawks −3.5	52.5	+146 / −146	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Trojans	Sat 4:00 PM	Bulldogs 61%	Bulldogs −4.5	50	−157 / +157	no move	Matchup
Bears at Panthers	Sat 4:00 PM	Panthers 67%	Panthers −7	50	+203 / −203	no move	Matchup
Huskies at Spartans	Sat 4:00 PM	Spartans 79%	Spartans −13	50	+375 / −375	no move	Matchup
Owls at Mean Green	Sat 4:00 PM	Mean Green 95%	Mean Green −28.5	60.5	+1784 / −1784	no move	Matchup
Scarlet Knights at Badgers	Sat 4:15 PM	Badgers 83%	Badgers −15.5	51.5	+487 / −487	no move	Matchup
Commodores at Bulldogs	Sat 4:15 PM	Bulldogs 56%	Bulldogs −2.5	54.5	+129 / −129	no move	Matchup
Jaguars at Ragin' Cajuns	Sat 5:00 PM	Ragin' Cajuns 73%	Ragin' Cajuns −10	57	+275 / −275	no move	Matchup
Broncos at Rams	Sat 6:00 PM	Broncos 91%	Broncos −23	62	−1047 / +1047	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Volunteers	Sat 6:15 PM	Volunteers 70%	Volunteers −8	52.5	+228 / −228	no move	Matchup
Bearkats at Gamecocks	Sat 7:00 PM	Gamecocks 94%	Gamecocks −27.5	47.5	+1675 / −1675	no move	Matchup
Falcons at Black Knights	Sat 7:30 PM	Black Knights 67%	Black Knights −7	55	+204 / −204	no move	Matchup
Buffaloes at Sun Devils	Sat 7:30 PM	Sun Devils 82%	Sun Devils −14.5	52.5	+448 / −448	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Rebels	Sat 7:30 PM	Rebels 50%	PK	56	+101 / −101	no move	Matchup
Hawkeyes at Wildcats	Sat 7:30 PM	Hawkeyes 57%	Hawkeyes −3	49	−134 / +134	no move	Matchup
Cardinals at Yellow Jackets	Sat 7:30 PM	Cardinals 80%	Cardinals −13.5	58	−398 / +398	no move	Matchup
Hurricanes at Fighting Irish	Sat 7:30 PM	Fighting Irish 54%	Fighting Irish −2	56	+120 / −120	no move	Matchup
Spartans at Wolverines	Sat 7:30 PM	Wolverines 89%	Wolverines −20.5	46	+797 / −797	no move	Matchup
Sooners at Gators	Sat 7:45 PM	Gators 53%	Gators −1	53.5	+113 / −113	no move	Matchup
Flames at Aggies	Sat 8:00 PM	Flames 82%	Flames −14.5	49	−443 / +443	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Aggies	Sat 9:30 PM	Bulldogs 61%	Bulldogs −4	47.5	−153 / +153	no move	Matchup
Rainbow Warriors at Miners	Sat 9:30 PM	Rainbow Warriors 74%	Rainbow Warriors −10.5	49.5	−288 / +288	no move	Matchup
Mountaineers at Red Raiders	Sat 9:30 PM	Red Raiders 89%	Red Raiders −20.5	59.5	+795 / −795	no move	Matchup
Bobcats at Beavers	Sat 10:30 PM	Bobcats 55%	Bobcats −2	61.5	−122 / +122	no move	Matchup
Cowboys at Rebels	Sat 10:30 PM	Rebels 78%	Rebels −12.5	48	+351 / −351	no move	Matchup

How these lines are made

In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal inputs

Ratings from results used in 50 of 50
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
Home advantage used in 50 of 50
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
Schedule in the data but not used for 50
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
Recent form in the data but not used for 50
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External inputs

Injuries unavailable for 50 (No injury list read before this game; The injury list is older than three days)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 15 · unavailable for 35 (No venue coordinates stored for the home side; A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
Weather in the data but not used for 22 · unavailable for 28 (No forecast stored before kickoff)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · newest read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

NCAA Division I FBS football team ratings

The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.

#	Team	Rating	Games
1	Indiana Hoosiers	1834	8
2	Miami Hurricanes	1812	7
3	Georgia Bulldogs	1795	7
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	1786	8
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1782	8
6	Utah Utes	1769	7
7	Ole Miss Rebels	1742	8
8	Texas Longhorns	1739	8
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	1713	8
10	BYU Cougars	1705	7
11	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1703	7
12	Oregon Ducks	1697	7

Top 12 of 138; every team's rating is on its page.

NCAA Division I FBS football model record

Over 2909 NCAA Division I FBS football games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 70% of the time, Brier score 0.1935, mean spread error 13.457 points, mean total error 13.063. Calibration and method.

Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I FBS football games Saturday, November 7: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.