Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerKansas State 70%
- Projected scoreKansas State 33, Oklahoma State 25
- Model spreadKansas State −8.5 total 57.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Oklahoma State Cowboys or Kansas State Wildcats: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market 67–33
Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | OKST | KSU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | OKST– | KSU– |
| Average win probability | OKST– | KSU– |
| Longest scoring run | OKST– | KSU– |
| Time leading | OKST– | KSU– |
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | KSU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 70% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 69% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 69% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 72% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 70% | — |
- Ratings
- KSU 1508 · OKST 1442
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Oklahoma State vs Kansas State odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Wildcats at 33%, Polymarket at 32% (1 point apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 70%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | OKST | KSU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 67% | 33% | ||
| Polymarket | 68% | 32% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 30% | 70% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Kansas State Wildcats prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wildcats a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 57.5. Ratings: Wildcats 1508 (66th of 138), Cowboys 1442 (85th). The Wildcats have won 1 of their last 5; the Cowboys 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Wildcats won 3, the Cowboys 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 49–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Buffaloes | W 57–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Cougars | L 32–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCF Knights | W 42–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | W 41–24 | – | – | matchup |
Kansas State Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Colorado Buffaloes | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona State Sun Devils | L 17–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kansas Jayhawks | W 35–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | L 16–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | L 26–31 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys | 14–6 | – | – | matchup | |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats | 20–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| Kansas State Wildcats at Oklahoma State Cowboys | 21–29 | – | – | matchup | |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats | 0–48 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Oklahoma State Cowboys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Kansas State Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cowboys– 7th · L1
- Cowboys rating1442 85th of 138, 7 games
- Wildcats– 14th · L2
- Wildcats rating1508 66th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $OKST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma State Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 14th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $KSU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Kansas State Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats
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Model: Kansas State 70% to win. Projected score Kansas State 33, Oklahoma State 25; spread Kansas State −8.5, total 57.5. Kalshi 33%, Polymarket 32% for Kansas State. Oklahoma State Cowboys at Kansas State Wildcats, Sat, Nov 7, 1:00 PM ET.