Oklahoma State leads Iowa State 14-7 with 15:00 to play in the 2nd, though the model still has the Cyclones at 70 percent. The program in Ames has heard this before, and the crowd has not picked yet.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Iowa State Cyclones: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreOklahoma State 49, Iowa State 51 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerIowa State 70%
- Pregame Projected scoreIowa State 32, Oklahoma State 24
- Model spreadIowa State −8.5 total 55.5
- Margin2 projected 8.5
- Total100 projected 55.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Oklahoma State Cowboys or Iowa State Cyclones: the bandwagon
Axle 30–70Market 75–25
FinalPregame: ISU 70%Baseline: ISU 76.9% (+6.5)Big swing: 82.8 ptsClutch window: 8:04
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| OKST | 14 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 49 |
| ISU | 7 | 17 | 14 | 13 | 51 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to ISU+10.1 points for ISU over the last 5:00
Big swing82.8 ptstoward OKST at 59:07 of game time
Clutch window8:04within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineISU 76.9%game average, +6.5 points from the pregame 70.4%
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Iowa State Cyclones live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | OKST533 | ISU581 |
| First downs | OKST27 | ISU24 |
| 3rd down | OKST8/12 | ISU8/15 |
| 4th down | OKST1/1 | ISU1/1 |
| Turnovers | OKST2 | ISU1 |
| Penalties-yards | OKST3-25 | ISU7-62 |
| Time of possession | OKST25:13 | ISU34:47 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Iowa State Cyclones team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | OKST | ISU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | OKST49 | ISU51 |
| Average win probability | OKST23% | ISU77% |
| Longest scoring run | OKST+14 | ISU+14 |
| Time leading | OKST7:13 | ISU39:58 |
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Iowa State Cyclones model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET
Cowboys30%
Win chanceCyclones70%
SpreadISU −8.5closing model spread
Total55.5
Moneyline+238away / −238homeaway / home
Line movementISU win chance, 26 stored lines
+3 pts for ISU between Oct 28 and Oct 31
76%61%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | ISU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 70% | +3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 67% | — |
- Ratings
- ISU 1518 · OKST 1451
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET · 2026-11-01 02:51 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Oklahoma State Cowboys 49, Iowa State Cyclones 51. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
CowboysCyclones
Neutrals only–
CowboysCyclones
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Cyclones–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Oklahoma State vs Iowa State odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Cyclones at 25% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 25% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 70% when last read, .
| Source | OKST | ISU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 75% | 25% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 76% | 25% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 30% | 70% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, ISU: −46Polymarket minus model, ISU: −46
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Oklahoma State Cowboys vs Iowa State Cyclones prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cyclones a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 70% chance to win. The model total is 55.5. Ratings: Cyclones 1527 (61st of 138), Cowboys 1442 (85th). The Cyclones have won 2 of their last 5; the Cowboys 3 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cyclones won 2, the Cowboys 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 49–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Buffaloes | W 57–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Cougars | L 32–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCF Knights | W 42–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | W 41–24 | – | – | matchup |
Iowa State Cyclones
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | W 51–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arizona Wildcats | L 3–39 | – | – | matchup | |
| at BYU Cougars | L 10–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs West Virginia Mountaineers | W 45–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Utah Utes | L 17–31 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma State Cowboys | 20–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones | 27–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| Iowa State Cyclones at Oklahoma State Cowboys | 14–20 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Oklahoma State Cowboys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Iowa State Cyclones: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cowboys– 7th · L1
- Cowboys rating1442 85th of 138, 7 games
- Cyclones– 10th · W1
- Cyclones rating1527 61st of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OKST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OKST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OKST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $OKST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma State Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ISU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ISU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ISU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ISU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Iowa State Cyclones bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Oklahoma State Cowboys at Iowa State Cyclones
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Final: Oklahoma State 49, Iowa State 51. Bandwagon's model had the Iowa State at 70% and projected Iowa State 32, Oklahoma State 24; spread Iowa State −8.5, total 55.5. Last read: Kalshi 25%, Polymarket 25% for Iowa State.