Texas A&M Aggies vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerSouth Carolina 65%
- Projected scoreSouth Carolina 30, Texas A&M 24
- Model spreadSouth Carolina −6 total 54.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Texas A&M Aggies or South Carolina Gamecocks: the bandwagon
Axle 35–65Market 29–71
Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Texas A&M Aggies vs South Carolina Gamecocks live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Texas A&M Aggies vs South Carolina Gamecocks team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | TA&M | SC |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TA&M– | SC– |
| Average win probability | TA&M– | SC– |
| Longest scoring run | TA&M– | SC– |
| Time leading | TA&M– | SC– |
Texas A&M Aggies vs South Carolina Gamecocks model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | SC win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 65% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 65% | +8 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 57% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 57% | −3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 60% | — |
- Ratings
- SC 1594 · TA&M 1563
- Home spread
- −6
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Texas A&M vs South Carolina odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Gamecocks at 71%, Polymarket at 71%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 65%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | TA&M | SC | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 29% | 71% | ||
| Polymarket | 29% | 71% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 35% | 65% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Texas A&M Aggies vs South Carolina Gamecocks prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Gamecocks a 6-point favorite at home, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 54.5. Ratings: Gamecocks 1594 (34th of 138), Aggies 1563 (45th). The Gamecocks have won 3 of their last 5; the Aggies 1 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Gamecocks won 2, the Aggies 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Texas A&M Aggies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Alabama Crimson Tide | L 20–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Missouri Tigers | L 6–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arkansas Razorbacks | W 34–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at LSU Tigers | L 6–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | L 21–31 | – | – | matchup |
South Carolina Gamecocks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Oklahoma Sooners | W 42–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Volunteers | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Gators | W 38–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | L 34–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama Crimson Tide | L 18–49 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina Gamecocks at Texas A&M Aggies | 30–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks | 20–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| South Carolina Gamecocks at Texas A&M Aggies | 17–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks | 24–30 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Texas A&M Aggies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
South Carolina Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Aggies– 14th · L1
- Aggies rating1563 45th of 138, 7 games
- Gamecocks– 9th · W3
- Gamecocks rating1594 34th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 14th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $TAM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas A&M Aggies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $SC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: South Carolina 65% to win. Projected score South Carolina 30, Texas A&M 24; spread South Carolina −6, total 54.5. Kalshi 71%, Polymarket 71% for South Carolina. Texas A&M Aggies at South Carolina Gamecocks, Sat, Nov 7, 3:00 PM ET.