Final: South Carolina 42, Oklahoma 25. The model had Oklahoma at 71 percent, and the Gamecocks won by 17 anyway, which is the kind of result that makes the Sooners' fans want a rematch.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Oklahoma Sooners: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreSouth Carolina 42, Oklahoma 25 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerOklahoma 71%
- Pregame Projected scoreOklahoma 30, South Carolina 22
- Model spreadOklahoma −8.5 total 52
- Margin17 projected 8.5
- Total67 projected 52
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
South Carolina Gamecocks or Oklahoma Sooners: the bandwagon
Axle 29–71Market 40–60
FinalPregame: OU 71%Baseline: OU 27.0% (−43.6)Big swing: 18.1 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SC | 7 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 42 |
| OU | 0 | 10 | 0 | 15 | 25 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
–
South Carolina Gamecocks at Oklahoma Sooners win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−0.0 points for OU over the last 5:00
Big swing18.1 ptstoward SC at 18:41 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineOU 27.0%game average, −43.6 points from the pregame 70.6%
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Oklahoma Sooners live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | SC | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | SC521 | OU359 |
| First downs | SC22 | OU24 |
| 3rd down | SC8/14 | OU7/16 |
| 4th down | SC1/2 | OU0/1 |
| Turnovers | SC3 | OU0 |
| Penalties-yards | SC9-90 | OU9-74 |
| Time of possession | SC32:14 | OU27:46 |
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Oklahoma Sooners team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | SC | OU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | SC42 | OU25 |
| Average win probability | SC73% | OU27% |
| Longest scoring run | SC+14 | OU+9 |
| Time leading | SC48:14 | OU0:00 |
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Oklahoma Sooners model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET
Gamecocks29%
Win chanceSooners71%
SpreadOU −8.5closing model spread
Total52
Moneyline+241away / −241homeaway / home
Line movementOU win chance, 24 stored lines
−3 pts for OU between Oct 28 and Oct 31
79%65%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | OU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 71% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 70% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 71% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 71% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 70% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 71% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 70% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 71% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 70% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 70% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 71% | −3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 74% | — |
- Ratings
- OU 1614 · SC 1546
- Home spread
- −8.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET · 2026-10-31 23:31 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: South Carolina Gamecocks 42, Oklahoma Sooners 25. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
GamecocksSooners
Neutrals only–
GamecocksSooners
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Sooners–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
South Carolina vs Oklahoma odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Sooners at 60% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 60% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 71% when last read, .
| Source | SC | OU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 40% | 60% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 41% | 60% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 29% | 71% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, OU: −10Polymarket minus model, OU: −11
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
South Carolina Gamecocks vs Oklahoma Sooners prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Sooners a 8.5-point favorite at home, with a 71% chance to win. The model total is 52. Ratings: Sooners 1566 (43rd of 138), Gamecocks 1594 (34th). The Sooners have won 2 of their last 5; the Gamecocks 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Sooners won 1, the Gamecocks 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
South Carolina Gamecocks
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Oklahoma Sooners | W 42–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tennessee Volunteers | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Florida Gators | W 38–19 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | L 34–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Alabama Crimson Tide | L 18–49 | – | – | matchup |
Oklahoma Sooners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs South Carolina Gamecocks | L 25–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Mississippi State Bulldogs | W 23–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Kentucky Wildcats | L 13–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Texas Longhorns | W 27–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia Bulldogs | L 13–41 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma Sooners at South Carolina Gamecocks | 26–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| South Carolina Gamecocks at Oklahoma Sooners | 35–9 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
South Carolina Gamecocks: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Oklahoma Sooners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Gamecocks– 9th · W3
- Gamecocks rating1594 34th of 138, 7 games
- Sooners– 11th · L1
- Sooners rating1566 43rd of 138, 8 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak W3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $SC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $SC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $SC
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $SC: the share of the crowd ▲ on the South Carolina Gamecocks bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 11th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $OU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $OU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $OU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $OU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma Sooners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on South Carolina Gamecocks at Oklahoma Sooners
Sign in to post a take on $SCOU261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: South Carolina 42, Oklahoma 25. Bandwagon's model had the Oklahoma at 71% and projected Oklahoma 30, South Carolina 22; spread Oklahoma −8.5, total 52. Last read: Kalshi 60%, Polymarket 60% for Oklahoma.