West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerTexas Tech 89%
- Projected scoreTexas Tech 40, West Virginia 20
- Model spreadTexas Tech −20.5 total 59.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
West Virginia Mountaineers or Texas Tech Red Raiders: the bandwagon
Axle 11–89Market 13–87
West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WVU | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WVU– | TTU– |
| Average win probability | WVU– | TTU– |
| Longest scoring run | WVU– | TTU– |
| Time leading | WVU– | TTU– |
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | TTU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 89% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 89% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 87% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 87% | −3 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 90% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 90% | — |
- Ratings
- TTU 1703 · WVU 1467
- Home spread
- −20.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
West Virginia vs Texas Tech odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Red Raiders at 87%, Polymarket at 87%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 89%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | WVU | TTU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 13% | 87% | ||
| Polymarket | 13% | 87% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 11% | 89% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
West Virginia Mountaineers vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Red Raiders a 20.5-point favorite at home, with a 89% chance to win. The model total is 59.5. Ratings: Red Raiders 1703 (11th of 138), Mountaineers 1467 (80th). The Red Raiders have won 4 of their last 5; the Mountaineers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Raiders won 3, the Mountaineers 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
West Virginia Mountaineers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at TCU Horned Frogs | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cincinnati Bearcats | W 45–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona Wildcats | L 31–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 42–45 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oklahoma State Cowboys | L 24–41 | – | – | matchup |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona Wildcats | W 34–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | L 24–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona State Sun Devils | W 53–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Buffaloes | W 29–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 49–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia Mountaineers | 49–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders | 15–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at West Virginia Mountaineers | 13–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders | 10–48 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
West Virginia Mountaineers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Texas Tech Red Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Mountaineers– 8th · W2
- Mountaineers rating1467 80th of 138, 7 games
- Red Raiders– 3rd · W1
- Red Raiders rating1703 11th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 8th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $WVU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the West Virginia Mountaineers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TTU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Tech Red Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Sign in to post a take on $WVUTTU261107: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Texas Tech 89% to win. Projected score Texas Tech 40, West Virginia 20; spread Texas Tech −20.5, total 59.5. Kalshi 87%, Polymarket 87% for Texas Tech. West Virginia Mountaineers at Texas Tech Red Raiders, Sat, Nov 7, 9:30 PM ET.