Scoreless at kickoff in Lubbock, and the model already has the Red Raiders at 60 percent. Crowd picks haven't registered yet, so the neutrals are still sitting on their hands.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreArizona 26, Texas Tech 34 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerTexas Tech 60%
- Pregame Projected scoreTexas Tech 30, Arizona 26
- Model spreadTexas Tech −4 total 55
- Margin8 projected 4
- Total60 projected 55
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Arizona Wildcats or Texas Tech Red Raiders: the bandwagon
Axle 40–60Market 37–63
FinalPregame: TTU 60%Baseline: TTU 57.5% (−2.6)Big swing: 32.3 ptsClutch window: 12:37
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ARIZ | 3 | 14 | 6 | 3 | 26 |
| TTU | 7 | 3 | 14 | 10 | 34 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Arizona Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to TTU+8.7 points for TTU over the last 5:00
Big swing32.3 ptstoward TTU at 57:15 of game time
Clutch window12:37within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineTTU 57.5%game average, −2.6 points from the pregame 60.1%
Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | ARIZ | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | ARIZ429 | TTU472 |
| First downs | ARIZ18 | TTU20 |
| 3rd down | ARIZ8/19 | TTU6/16 |
| 4th down | ARIZ1/3 | TTU2/3 |
| Turnovers | ARIZ0 | TTU1 |
| Penalties-yards | ARIZ7-55 | TTU6-74 |
| Time of possession | ARIZ33:20 | TTU26:40 |
Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | ARIZ | TTU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | ARIZ26 | TTU34 |
| Average win probability | ARIZ42% | TTU58% |
| Longest scoring run | ARIZ+14 | TTU+23 |
| Time leading | ARIZ22:38 | TTU29:09 |
Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET
Wildcats40%
Win chanceRed Raiders60%
SpreadTTU −4closing model spread
Total55
Moneyline+151away / −151homeaway / home
Line movementTTU win chance, 18 stored lines
−1 pts for TTU between Oct 28 and Oct 31
66%55%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | TTU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 60% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 60% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 61% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 61% | — |
- Ratings
- TTU 1681 · ARIZ 1678
- Home spread
- −4
- Stored
- Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET · 2026-10-31 19:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Arizona Wildcats 26, Texas Tech Red Raiders 34. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
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WildcatsRed Raiders
Neutrals only–
WildcatsRed Raiders
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Red Raiders–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Arizona vs Texas Tech odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Red Raiders at 63% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 64% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 60% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | ARIZ | TTU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 37% | 63% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 36% | 64% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 40% | 60% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, TTU: +2Polymarket minus model, TTU: +3
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Arizona Wildcats vs Texas Tech Red Raiders prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Red Raiders a 4-point favorite at home, with a 60% chance to win. The model total is 55. Ratings: Red Raiders 1703 (11th of 138), Wildcats 1655 (20th). The Red Raiders have won 4 of their last 5; the Wildcats 4 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Red Raiders won 1, the Wildcats 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Arizona Wildcats
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Texas Tech Red Raiders | L 26–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Iowa State Cyclones | W 39–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | W 52–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Cincinnati Bearcats | W 34–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Washington State Cougars | W 34–24 | – | – | matchup |
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona Wildcats | W 34–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | L 24–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona State Sun Devils | W 53–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Buffaloes | W 29–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 49–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at Arizona Wildcats | 28–22 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Arizona Wildcats: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Texas Tech Red Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wildcats– 5th · L1
- Wildcats rating1655 20th of 138, 7 games
- Red Raiders– 3rd · W1
- Red Raiders rating1703 11th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 5th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ARIZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ARIZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ARIZ
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ARIZ: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Arizona Wildcats bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TTU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TTU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TTU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $TTU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Tech Red Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Arizona Wildcats at Texas Tech Red Raiders
Sign in to post a take on $ARIZTTU261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Arizona 26, Texas Tech 34. Bandwagon's model had the Texas Tech at 60% and projected Texas Tech 30, Arizona 26; spread Texas Tech −4, total 55. Last read: Kalshi 63%, Polymarket 64% for Texas Tech.