Temple Owls vs Navy Midshipmen prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerNavy 82%
- Projected scoreNavy 34, Temple 19
- Model spreadNavy −15 total 53.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Temple Owls or Navy Midshipmen: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market 28–72
Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Temple Owls vs Navy Midshipmen live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Temple Owls vs Navy Midshipmen team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | TEM | NAVY |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TEM– | NAVY– |
| Average win probability | TEM– | NAVY– |
| Longest scoring run | TEM– | NAVY– |
| Time leading | TEM– | NAVY– |
Temple Owls vs Navy Midshipmen model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NAVY win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:26 PM ET | 82% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 81% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 82% | — |
- Ratings
- NAVY 1471 · TEM 1312
- Home spread
- −15
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Temple vs Navy odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Midshipmen at 72%, Polymarket at 72%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 82%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | TEM | NAVY | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 28% | 72% | ||
| Polymarket | 28% | 72% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 18% | 82% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Temple Owls vs Navy Midshipmen prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Midshipmen a 15-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 53.5. Ratings: Midshipmen 1471 (78th of 138), Owls 1312 (126th). The Midshipmen have won 1 of their last 5; the Owls 1 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Midshipmen won 3, the Owls 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Temple Owls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at East Carolina Pirates | L 9–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | L 31–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | L 20–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Florida Bulls | W 17–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | L 17–21 | – | – | matchup |
Navy Midshipmen
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 13–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs North Texas Mean Green | L 39–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTSA Roadrunners | L 34–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | W 34–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Air Force Falcons | L 9–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Navy Midshipmen at Temple Owls | 32–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen | 11–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| Navy Midshipmen at Temple Owls | 18–32 | – | – | matchup | |
| Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen | 20–27 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Temple Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Navy Midshipmen: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Owls– 11th · L3
- Owls rating1312 126th of 138, 7 games
- Midshipmen– 12th · L3
- Midshipmen rating1471 78th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 11th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $TEM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Temple Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 12th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $NAVY: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Navy Midshipmen bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen
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Model: Navy 82% to win. Projected score Navy 34, Temple 19; spread Navy −15, total 53.5. Kalshi 72%, Polymarket 72% for Navy. Temple Owls at Navy Midshipmen, Sat, Nov 7, 3:30 PM ET.