East Carolina opens at 0-0 but the model has the Pirates at 82 percent to win, and the crowd has not weighed in yet. Temple's program has heard that math before, so the first quarter will tell us whether it still matters.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Temple Owls vs East Carolina Pirates: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreTemple 9, East Carolina 17 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerEast Carolina 82%
- Pregame Projected scoreEast Carolina 34, Temple 19
- Model spreadEast Carolina −15 total 53
- Margin8 projected 15
- Total26 projected 53
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Temple Owls or East Carolina Pirates: the bandwagon
Axle 18–82Market 37–63
FinalPregame: ECU 82%Baseline: ECU 89.4% (+7.7)Big swing: 9.6 ptsClutch window: 10:12
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TEM | 0 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 |
| ECU | 7 | 3 | 7 | 0 | 17 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Temple Owls at East Carolina Pirates win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+1.5 points for ECU over the last 5:00
Big swing9.6 ptstoward ECU at 27:25 of game time
Clutch window10:12within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineECU 89.4%game average, +7.7 points from the pregame 81.6%
Temple Owls vs East Carolina Pirates live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | TEM249 | ECU352 |
| First downs | TEM15 | ECU22 |
| 3rd down | TEM1/7 | ECU4/12 |
| 4th down | TEM0/0 | ECU2/4 |
| Turnovers | TEM3 | ECU1 |
| Penalties-yards | TEM3-25 | ECU4-26 |
| Time of possession | TEM27:05 | ECU32:55 |
Temple Owls vs East Carolina Pirates team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TEM | ECU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TEM9 | ECU17 |
| Average win probability | TEM11% | ECU89% |
| Longest scoring run | TEM+12 | ECU+10 |
| Time leading | TEM0:00 | ECU46:19 |
Temple Owls vs East Carolina Pirates model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET
Owls18%
Win chancePirates82%
SpreadECU −15closing model spread
Total53
Moneyline+445away / −445homeaway / home
Line movementECU win chance, 22 stored lines
−1 pts for ECU between Oct 28 and Oct 31
88%76%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | ECU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 82% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 82% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 83% | — |
- Ratings
- ECU 1480 · TEM 1324
- Home spread
- −15
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET · 2026-10-31 22:11 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Temple Owls 9, East Carolina Pirates 17. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
OwlsPirates
Neutrals only–
OwlsPirates
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Pirates–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Temple vs East Carolina odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Pirates at 64% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 63% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 82% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | TEM | ECU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 36% | 64% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 37% | 63% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 18% | 82% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, ECU: −18Polymarket minus model, ECU: −19
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Temple Owls vs East Carolina Pirates prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Pirates a 15-point favorite at home, with a 82% chance to win. The model total is 53. Ratings: Pirates 1491 (72nd of 138), Owls 1312 (126th). The Pirates have won 3 of their last 5; the Owls 1 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Pirates won 3, the Owls 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Temple Owls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at East Carolina Pirates | L 9–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Charlotte 49ers | L 31–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UConn Huskies | L 20–34 | – | – | matchup | |
| at South Florida Bulls | W 17–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Army Black Knights | L 17–21 | – | – | matchup |
East Carolina Pirates
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Temple Owls | W 17–9 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Memphis Tigers | L 34–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UAB Blazers | L 17–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Rice Owls | W 28–12 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 20–17 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| East Carolina Pirates at Temple Owls | 45–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| Temple Owls at East Carolina Pirates | 34–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| East Carolina Pirates at Temple Owls | 49–46 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Temple Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
East Carolina Pirates: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Owls– 11th · L3
- Owls rating1312 126th of 138, 7 games
- Pirates– 8th · W1
- Pirates rating1491 72nd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 11th · streak L3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $TEM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Temple Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 8th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $ECU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $ECU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $ECU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $ECU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the East Carolina Pirates bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Temple Owls at East Carolina Pirates
Sign in to post a take on $TEMECU261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Temple 9, East Carolina 17. Bandwagon's model had the East Carolina at 82% and projected East Carolina 34, Temple 19; spread East Carolina −15, total 53. Last read: Kalshi 64%, Polymarket 63% for East Carolina.