Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Wisconsin Badgers prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerWisconsin 83%
- Projected scoreWisconsin 34, Rutgers 18
- Model spreadWisconsin −15.5 total 51.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Rutgers Scarlet Knights or Wisconsin Badgers: the bandwagon
Axle 17–83Market 11–89
Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin Badgers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Wisconsin Badgers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Wisconsin Badgers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | RUTG | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| Score | RUTG– | WIS– |
| Average win probability | RUTG– | WIS– |
| Longest scoring run | RUTG– | WIS– |
| Time leading | RUTG– | WIS– |
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Wisconsin Badgers model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | WIS win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 83% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 83% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 81% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 81% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 84% | −4 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 88% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 88% | — |
- Ratings
- WIS 1546 · RUTG 1379
- Home spread
- −15.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
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No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Rutgers vs Wisconsin odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Badgers at 89%, Polymarket at 89%, and Axle 2.0 gives them 83%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | RUTG | WIS | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 11% | 89% | ||
| Polymarket | 11% | 89% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 17% | 83% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Rutgers Scarlet Knights vs Wisconsin Badgers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Badgers a 15.5-point favorite at home, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 51.5. Ratings: Badgers 1546 (54th of 138), Scarlet Knights 1379 (111th). The Badgers have won 3 of their last 5; the Scarlet Knights 1 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Badgers won 2, the Scarlet Knights 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Rutgers Scarlet Knights
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Michigan Wolverines | L 21–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Northwestern Wildcats | L 14–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maryland Terrapins | W 37–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Indiana Hoosiers | L 15–47 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs USC Trojans | L 35–42 | – | – | matchup |
Wisconsin Badgers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa Hawkeyes | L 0–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs USC Trojans | W 24–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UCLA Bruins | L 7–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan State Spartans | W 31–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Penn State Nittany Lions | W 24–20 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin Badgers at Rutgers Scarlet Knights | 42–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin Badgers | 13–24 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Rutgers Scarlet Knights: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Wisconsin Badgers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Scarlet Knights– 16th · L2
- Scarlet Knights rating1379 111th of 138, 7 games
- Badgers– 10th · L1
- Badgers rating1546 54th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 16th · streak L2
No stances yet today on $RUTG: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rutgers Scarlet Knights bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $WIS: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wisconsin Badgers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin Badgers
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Model: Wisconsin 83% to win. Projected score Wisconsin 34, Rutgers 18; spread Wisconsin −15.5, total 51.5. Kalshi 89%, Polymarket 89% for Wisconsin. Rutgers Scarlet Knights at Wisconsin Badgers, Sat, Nov 7, 4:15 PM ET.