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NCAA Division I FBS football odds Saturday, November 14

Win chance, spread and total for every game. Today's NCAA Division I FBS football predictions · Standings · every league

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers. How the model works · Axle 2.0 · Betting guide

NCAA Division I FBS football odds Saturday, November 14

56 games

Game	Kick (ET)	Axle win	Spread	Total	Moneyline (away / home)	Movement
Sun Devils at Knights	Sat 12:00 AM	Sun Devils 57%	Sun Devils −2.5	53.5	−131 / +131	no move	Matchup
Bears at Cougars	Sat 12:00 AM	Cougars 81%	Cougars −14	49.5	+415 / −415	no move	Matchup
Bearcats at Cyclones	Sat 12:00 AM	Cyclones 61%	Cyclones −4	57	+154 / −154	no move	Matchup
Gators at Wildcats	Sat 12:00 AM	Wildcats 72%	Wildcats −9	58	+256 / −256	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Horned Frogs	Sat 12:00 AM	Horned Frogs 68%	Horned Frogs −7	46.5	+209 / −209	no move	Matchup
Jayhawks at Mountaineers	Sat 12:00 AM	Mountaineers 67%	Mountaineers −7	57.5	+199 / −199	spread −6.5 → −7	Matchup
Cardinals at Tar Heels	Sat 12:00 AM	Cardinals 69%	Cardinals −7.5	56.5	−218 / +218	no move	Matchup
Rebels at Sooners	Sat 12:00 AM	Rebels 70%	Rebels −8.5	52.5	−237 / +237	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Bulldogs	Sat 12:00 AM	Bulldogs 80%	Bulldogs −13.5	52	+403 / −403	no move	Matchup
Boilermakers at Hawkeyes	Sat 12:00 AM	Hawkeyes 92%	Hawkeyes −24.5	51.5	+1194 / −1194	no move	Matchup
Cardinal at Hokies	Sat 12:00 AM	Hokies 76%	Hokies −11.5	55	+320 / −320	no move	Matchup
Volunteers at Aggies	Sat 12:00 AM	Volunteers 59%	Volunteers −3.5	49.5	−141 / +141	no move	Matchup
Longhorns at Tigers	Sat 12:00 AM	Tigers 50%	PK	51.5	+101 / −101	no move	Matchup
Red Raiders at Cowboys	Sat 12:00 AM	Red Raiders 81%	Red Raiders −14.5	59.5	−434 / +434	no move	Matchup
Utes at Wildcats	Sat 12:00 AM	Utes 60%	Utes −4	53.5	−153 / +153	no move	Matchup
Tigers at Bulldogs	Sat 12:00 PM	Bulldogs 57%	Bulldogs −2.5	53	+132 / −132	no move	Matchup
Blue Devils at Hurricanes	Sat 12:00 PM	Hurricanes 84%	Hurricanes −16	53	+521 / −521	no move	Matchup
Dukes at Huskies	Sat 12:00 PM	Dukes 74%	Dukes −10	55	−280 / +280	no move	Matchup
Wildcats at Buckeyes	Sat 12:00 PM	Buckeyes 86%	Buckeyes −17.5	52.5	+604 / −604	no move	Matchup
Orange at Wolfpack	Sat 12:00 PM	Wolfpack 77%	Wolfpack −11.5	55	+329 / −329	no move	Matchup
Demon Deacons at Mustangs	Sat 12:00 PM	Mustangs 56%	Mustangs −2.5	55	+128 / −128	no move	Matchup
Badgers at Terrapins	Sat 12:00 PM	Badgers 76%	Badgers −11	51	−313 / +313	no move	Matchup
Yellow Jackets at Tigers	Sat 12:30 PM	Tigers 85%	Tigers −17	52	+554 / −554	no move	Matchup
Cornhuskers at Scarlet Knights	Sat 12:30 PM	Cornhuskers 71%	Cornhuskers −8.5	54	−243 / +243	no move	Matchup
Crimson Tide at Commodores	Sat 12:45 PM	Crimson Tide 76%	Crimson Tide −11.5	55.5	−325 / +325	no move	Matchup
Red Wolves at Chanticleers	Sat 1:00 PM	Chanticleers 50%	PK	53.5	−101 / +101	no move	Matchup
Pirates at 49ers	Sat 1:00 PM	Pirates 79%	Pirates −13	53	−381 / +381	no move	Matchup
Blazers at Owls	Sat 1:00 PM	Blazers 55%	Blazers −2	50.5	−125 / +125	no move	Matchup
Owls at Bearkats	Sat 2:00 PM	Owls 72%	Owls −9.5	48.5	−258 / +258	no move	Matchup
Green Wave at Owls	Sat 2:00 PM	Green Wave 83%	Green Wave −15.5	52.5	−484 / +484	no move	Matchup
Panthers at Blue Hens	Sat 3:00 PM	Blue Hens 69%	Blue Hens −8	51	+221 / −221	no move	Matchup
Aggies at Bears	Sat 3:00 PM	Bears 66%	Bears −6.5	51	+194 / −194	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Fighting Irish	Sat 3:30 PM	Fighting Irish 94%	Fighting Irish −27.5	52.5	+1677 / −1677	no move	Matchup
Golden Bears at Cavaliers	Sat 3:30 PM	Cavaliers 78%	Cavaliers −12.5	51.5	+354 / −354	no move	Matchup
Owls at Golden Hurricane	Sat 3:30 PM	Golden Hurricane 50%	PK	60	+101 / −101	no move	Matchup
Eagles at Panthers	Sat 3:30 PM	Eagles 65%	Eagles −6	53	−187 / +187	no move	Matchup
Gamecocks at Hilltoppers	Sat 3:30 PM	Gamecocks 66%	Gamecocks −6.5	50.5	−195 / +195	no move	Matchup
Wolverines at Ducks	Sat 3:30 PM	Ducks 72%	Ducks −9	48	+256 / −256	no move	Matchup
Blue Raiders at Flames	Sat 3:30 PM	Flames 90%	Flames −21.5	51.5	+907 / −907	no move	Matchup
Wolf Pack at Huskies	Sat 3:30 PM	Wolf Pack 72%	Wolf Pack −9.5	52	−260 / +260	no move	Matchup
Trojans at Hoosiers	Sat 3:30 PM	Hoosiers 81%	Hoosiers −14.5	51	+436 / −436	no move	Matchup
Bulldogs at Bobcats	Sat 4:00 PM	Bobcats 53%	Bobcats −1.5	57	+114 / −114	no move	Matchup
Huskies at Spartans	Sat 4:15 PM	Huskies 79%	Huskies −12.5	48.5	−367 / +367	spread +13 → +12.5	Matchup
Golden Eagles at Bulldogs	Sat 5:00 PM	Bulldogs 86%	Bulldogs −17.5	53.5	+608 / −608	no move	Matchup
Mountaineers at Thundering Herd	Sat 6:00 PM	Thundering Herd 73%	Thundering Herd −10	51	+275 / −275	no move	Matchup
Beavers at Broncos	Sat 6:00 PM	Broncos 89%	Broncos −20	58.5	+783 / −783	no move	Matchup
Golden Gophers at Nittany Lions	Sat 7:00 PM	Nittany Lions 68%	Nittany Lions −7.5	48.5	+213 / −213	no move	Matchup
Spartans at Falcons	Sat 7:00 PM	Falcons 82%	Falcons −14.5	49.5	+444 / −444	no move	Matchup
Trojans at Jaguars	Sat 7:00 PM	Jaguars 57%	Jaguars −2.5	55.5	+131 / −131	no move	Matchup
Rebels at Lobos	Sat 7:30 PM	Lobos 68%	Lobos −7.5	49	+216 / −216	no move	Matchup
Gamecocks at Razorbacks	Sat 7:45 PM	Gamecocks 69%	Gamecocks −8	54.5	−223 / +223	no move	Matchup
Mean Green at Roadrunners	Sat 9:00 PM	Roadrunners 65%	Roadrunners −6	61.5	+184 / −184	no move	Matchup
Aggies at Aztecs	Sat 9:30 PM	Aztecs 51%	Aztecs −0.5	50.5	+104 / −104	no move	Matchup
Cowboys at Miners	Sat 10:00 PM	Cowboys 80%	Cowboys −13.5	48.5	−396 / +396	no move	Matchup
Rams at Cougars	Sat 10:30 PM	Cougars 68%	Cougars −7.5	58	+212 / −212	no move	Matchup
Bison at Rainbow Warriors	Sat 11:00 PM	Bison 70%	Bison −8.5	47	−233 / +233	no move	Matchup

How these lines are made

In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal inputs

Ratings from results used in 56 of 56
an Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
Home advantage used in 56 of 56
the league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
Schedule in the data but not used for 56
rest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
Recent form in the data but not used for 56
average margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External inputs

Injuries unavailable for 56 (More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that window)
players listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
Travel and time zones in the data but not used for 14 · unavailable for 42 (A previous venue or its coordinates is not stored; No venue coordinates stored for the home side)
distance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · newest read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
Weather in the data but not used for 26 · unavailable for 30 (No forecast stored before kickoff)
forecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · newest read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

NCAA Division I FBS football team ratings

The Elo-style ratings the lines are made from, after the latest results. The league mean is 1500.

#	Team	Rating	Games
1	Indiana Hoosiers	1834	8
2	Miami Hurricanes	1812	7
3	Georgia Bulldogs	1795	7
4	Ohio State Buckeyes	1786	8
5	Notre Dame Fighting Irish	1782	8
6	Utah Utes	1769	7
7	Ole Miss Rebels	1742	8
8	Texas Longhorns	1739	8
9	Alabama Crimson Tide	1713	8
10	BYU Cougars	1705	7
11	Texas Tech Red Raiders	1703	7
12	Oregon Ducks	1697	7

Top 12 of 138; every team's rating is on its page.

NCAA Division I FBS football model record

Over 2909 NCAA Division I FBS football games in 2023, 2024, 2025, 2026, scored before each result was known: the favored side won 70% of the time, Brier score 0.1935, mean spread error 13.457 points, mean total error 13.063. Calibration and method.

Bandwagon's model lines for NCAA Division I FBS football games Saturday, November 14: win probability, spread, total and moneyline for each game, movement since the last line, and the team ratings behind them. Not a sportsbook.