Tulane Green Wave vs Rice Owls prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerTulane 83%
- Projected scoreTulane 34, Rice 19
- Model spreadTulane −15.5 total 52.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Tulane Green Wave or Rice Owls: the bandwagon
Axle 83–17Market 72–28
Tulane Green Wave at Rice Owls win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Tulane Green Wave vs Rice Owls live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Tulane Green Wave vs Rice Owls team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | TULN | RICE |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TULN– | RICE– |
| Average win probability | TULN– | RICE– |
| Longest scoring run | TULN– | RICE– |
| Time leading | TULN– | RICE– |
Tulane Green Wave vs Rice Owls model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | RICE win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 17% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 18% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 18% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 20% | — |
- Ratings
- RICE 1270 · TULN 1546
- Home spread
- +15.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Tulane vs Rice odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Green Wave at 76%, Polymarket at 68% (8 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 83%.
Prices read: Kalshi (not de-vigged); Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | TULN | RICE | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 76% | 24% | · not de-vigged | |
| Polymarket | 68% | 32% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 83% | 17% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Tulane Green Wave vs Rice Owls prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Green Wave a 15.5-point favorite, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 52.5. Ratings: Owls 1270 (131st of 138), Green Wave 1546 (55th). The Owls have won 0 of their last 5; the Green Wave 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Owls won 0, the Green Wave 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Tulane Green Wave
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Charlotte 49ers | W 38–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | L 19–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Tigers | W 31–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Army Black Knights | L 17–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles | W 24–21 | – | – | matchup |
Rice Owls
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Florida Atlantic Owls | L 49–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Tulsa Golden Hurricane | L 17–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at East Carolina Pirates | L 12–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | L 14–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Fresno State Bulldogs | L 24–38 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rice Owls at Tulane Green Wave | 10–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tulane Green Wave at Rice Owls | 30–28 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tulane Green Wave: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Rice Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Green Wave– 9th · W1
- Green Wave rating1546 55th of 138, 8 games
- Owls– 14th · L7
- Owls rating1270 131st of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TULN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulane Green Wave bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 14th · streak L7
No stances yet today on $RICE: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Rice Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Tulane Green Wave at Rice Owls
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Model: Tulane 83% to win. Projected score Tulane 34, Rice 19; spread Tulane −15.5, total 52.5. Kalshi 76%, Polymarket 68% for Tulane. Tulane Green Wave at Rice Owls, Sat, Nov 14, 2:00 PM ET.