Scoreless at the opening whistle in Charlotte, and the model has the 49ers at 17 percent to win. The fans haven't weighed in yet, so the numbers do the talking for now.
FBS · · Jerry Richardson Stadium · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Tulane Green Wave vs Charlotte 49ers: final score and how the prediction did, October 30, 2026
- Final scoreTulane 38, Charlotte 31 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerTulane 83%
- Pregame Projected scoreTulane 34, Charlotte 18
- Model spreadTulane −15.5 total 51.5
- Margin7 projected 15.5
- Total69 projected 51.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Tulane Green Wave or Charlotte 49ers: the bandwagon
Axle 83–17Market 75–26
Final · OTPregame: CLT 17%Baseline: CLT 46.1% (+28.9)Big swing: 98.3 ptsClutch window: 13:07
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | OT | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| TULN | 7 | 7 | 7 | 10 | 7 | 38 |
| CLT | 0 | 24 | 0 | 7 | 0 | 31 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Tulane Green Wave at Charlotte 49ers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumSwinging to TULN−98.6 points for CLT over the last 5:00
Big swing98.3 ptstoward CLT at 59:58 of game time
Clutch window13:07within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineCLT 46.1%game average, +28.9 points from the pregame 17.2%
Tulane Green Wave vs Charlotte 49ers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | TULN | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | TULN467 | CLT455 |
| First downs | TULN23 | CLT26 |
| 3rd down | TULN8/13 | CLT8/16 |
| 4th down | TULN1/1 | CLT1/3 |
| Turnovers | TULN2 | CLT0 |
| Penalties-yards | TULN8-59 | CLT5-25 |
| Time of possession | TULN26:13 | CLT33:47 |
Tulane Green Wave vs Charlotte 49ers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | TULN | CLT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TULN38 | CLT31 |
| Average win probability | TULN54% | CLT46% |
| Longest scoring run | TULN+16 | CLT+14 |
| Time leading | TULN16:09 | CLT34:03 |
Tulane Green Wave vs Charlotte 49ers model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET
Green Wave83%
Win chance49ers17%
SpreadTULN −15.5closing model spread
Total51.5
Moneyline−480away / +480homeaway / home
Line movementCLT win chance, 10 stored lines
−2 pts for CLT between Oct 28 and Oct 30
24%12%
Oct 28Oct 30
Every stored line
| Stored | CLT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 17% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 17% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 19% | — |
- Ratings
- CLT 1259 · TULN 1536
- Home spread
- +15.5
- Stored
- Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET · 2026-10-30 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Tulane Green Wave 38, Charlotte 49ers 31. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 30, 10:34 AM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Green Wave49ers
Neutrals only–
Green Wave49ers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, 49ers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Tulane vs Charlotte odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Green Wave at 75% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 75% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 83% when last read, .
| Source | TULN | CLT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 75% | 26% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 75% | 26% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 83% | 17% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, CLT: +8Polymarket minus model, CLT: +8
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Tulane Green Wave vs Charlotte 49ers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Green Wave a 15.5-point favorite, with a 83% chance to win. The model total is 51.5. Ratings: 49ers 1249 (133rd of 138), Green Wave 1546 (55th). The 49ers have won 1 of their last 5; the Green Wave 3 of their last 5. The two have met 2 times in Bandwagon's results history; the 49ers won 0, the Green Wave 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Tulane Green Wave
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Charlotte 49ers | W 38–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UTSA Roadrunners | L 19–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Tigers | W 31–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Army Black Knights | L 17–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Southern Miss Golden Eagles | W 24–21 | – | – | matchup |
Charlotte 49ers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Tulane Green Wave | L 31–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Temple Owls | W 38–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Texas Mean Green | L 10–50 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Memphis Tigers | L 8–59 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns | L 7–34 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Charlotte 49ers at Tulane Green Wave | 0–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Tulane Green Wave at Charlotte 49ers | 34–3 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Tulane Green Wave: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Charlotte 49ers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Green Wave– 9th · W1
- Green Wave rating1546 55th of 138, 8 games
- 49ers– 13th · L1
- 49ers rating1249 133rd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TULN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TULN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TULN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $TULN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Tulane Green Wave bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 13th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CLT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CLT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CLT
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CLT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Charlotte 49ers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Tulane Green Wave at Charlotte 49ers
Sign in to post a take on $TULNCLT261030: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Tulane 38, Charlotte 31. Bandwagon's model had the Tulane at 83% and projected Tulane 34, Charlotte 18; spread Tulane −15.5, total 51.5. Last read: Kalshi 75%, Polymarket 75% for Tulane.