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UAB Blazers vs Temple Owls prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model

Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated

UAB Blazers or Temple Owls: the bandwagon

Bandwagon

Be the first on the bandwagon

Axle 55–45Market 37–63

Scheduled · Pregame: TEM 45%
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Game clock
KickoffSaturday, November 14 at 1:00 PM ET
Down & distance
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Possession
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UAB Blazers at Temple Owls win probability

Bandwagon's model
No read of the live source is stored for this game.
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0015:0030:0045:0060:00
0%20%40%60%80%100%0:0030:0060:00

The in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.

Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is computed

The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.

Momentum–Starts with the game.
Big swing–Starts with the game.
Clutch window–Starts with the game.
Baseline–Starts with the game.

UAB Blazers vs Temple Owls live stats

From the league's public game summary

Team statistics appear once the game starts.

UAB Blazers vs Temple Owls team breakdown

From the stored in-game series (none for this game)
Team breakdown
StatUABTEM
ScoreUAB–TEM–
Average win probabilityUAB–TEM–
Longest scoring runUAB–TEM–
Time leadingUAB–TEM–

UAB Blazers vs Temple Owls model odds

Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated 23 h ago
Blazers55%
Win chance
Owls45%
SpreadUAB −2
Total50.5
Moneyline−125away / +125homeaway / home
Line movementTEM win chance, 40 stored lines
No move
52%38%
Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET: TEM 45%Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET: TEM 45%Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET: TEM 44%Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET: TEM 44%Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET: TEM 44%Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET: TEM 44%Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET: TEM 44%Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET: TEM 44%Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET: TEM 44%Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET: TEM 44%Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET: TEM 44%Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET: TEM 44%Oct 31, 3:32 PM ET: TEM 47%Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET: TEM 47%Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET: TEM 47%Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET: TEM 47%Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET: TEM 47%Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET: TEM 47%Oct 31, 6:26 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET: TEM 45%Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET: TEM 45%Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET: TEM 45%Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET: TEM 45%Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET: TEM 45%Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET: TEM 45%Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET: TEM 45%Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET: TEM 45%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: TEM 45%Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET: TEM 45%
Oct 28Nov 1Now
Every stored line
StoredTEM winMove
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET45%0
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET45%0
Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET45%0
Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET45%0
Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET45%0
Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET45%0
Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET45%0
Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET45%0
Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET45%0
Oct 31, 6:26 PM ET45%−2
Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET47%0
Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET47%0
Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET47%0
Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET47%0
Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET47%0
Oct 31, 3:32 PM ET47%+3
Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET44%0
Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET44%0
Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET44%0
Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET44%0
Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET44%0
Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET44%0
Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET44%0
Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET44%0
Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET44%0
Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET44%−1
Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET45%0
Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET45%0
Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET45%0
Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET45%0
Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET45%0
Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET45%—
Ratings
TEM 1312 · UAB 1398
Home spread
+2
Stored
Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
Version
Axle 2.0

How the model works

Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

How this line is made

In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.

Internal

  • Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
  • Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
  • Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
  • Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results

External

  • Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
  • Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
  • Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts

Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.

Who ya got: bandwagon versus model

Who ya got · no picks yet

Be the first on the bandwagon

BlazersOwls
Neutrals only–
Change your pick any time before kickoff. Counts in the weekly pick'em.
Bandwagon minus model, Owls–

No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.

UAB vs Temple odds on Kalshi and Polymarket

Every College football market

Kalshi prices Blazers at 33%, Polymarket at 40% (7 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 55%.

Prices read: Kalshi (not de-vigged); Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .

SourceUABTEMPrice read
Kalshi33%67% · not de-vigged
Polymarket40%60%
Bandwagon model55%45% · model 2.0
Kalshi minus model, TEM: +22Polymarket minus model, TEM: +15

Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.

Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works

UAB Blazers vs Temple Owls prediction

Bandwagon's model makes the Blazers a 2-point favorite, with a 55% chance to win. The model total is 50.5. Ratings: Owls 1312 (126th of 138), Blazers 1398 (103rd). The Owls have won 1 of their last 5; the Blazers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Owls won 0, the Blazers 1.

Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.

Recent form

UAB Blazers

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at South Florida BullsL 10–30––matchup
vs East Carolina PiratesW 30–17––matchup
at Memphis TigersL 13–38––matchup
vs Navy MidshipmenW 24–20––matchup
at Louisiana Ragin' CajunsL 14–21––matchup

Temple Owls

OpponentKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
at East Carolina PiratesL 9–17––matchup
vs Charlotte 49ersL 31–38––matchup
vs UConn HuskiesL 20–34––matchup
at South Florida BullsW 17–13––matchup
vs Army Black KnightsL 17–21––matchup

Head-to-head

GameKick (ET)ResultPicksAxle
Temple Owls at UAB Blazers24–34––matchup

Injuries

UAB Blazers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

Temple Owls: nobody listed as injured by the roster source

From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.

Standings and ratings

All ratings
  • Blazers– 7th · L1
  • Blazers rating1398 103rd of 138, 7 games
  • Owls– 11th · L3
  • Owls rating1312 126th of 138, 7 games

UAB Blazers

NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak L1

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UAB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UAB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UAB
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $UAB: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UAB Blazers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Blazers roster, schedule and more

Temple Owls

NCAA Division I FBS football · 11th · streak L3

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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $TEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $TEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
–
Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $TEM
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –

No stances yet today on $TEM: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Temple Owls bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.

Owls roster, schedule and more

Takes on UAB Blazers at Temple Owls

Sign in to post a take on $UABTEM261114: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.

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Model: UAB 55% to win. Projected score UAB 26, Temple 24; spread UAB −2, total 50.5. Kalshi 33%, Polymarket 40% for UAB. UAB Blazers at Temple Owls, Sat, Nov 14, 1:00 PM ET.