Stanford Cardinal vs Virginia Tech Hokies prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerVirginia Tech 76%
- Projected scoreVirginia Tech 33, Stanford 22
- Model spreadVirginia Tech −11.5 total 55
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Stanford Cardinal or Virginia Tech Hokies: the bandwagon
Axle 24–76Market 16–84
Stanford Cardinal at Virginia Tech Hokies win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Stanford Cardinal vs Virginia Tech Hokies live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Stanford Cardinal vs Virginia Tech Hokies team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | STAN | VT |
|---|---|---|
| Score | STAN– | VT– |
| Average win probability | STAN– | VT– |
| Longest scoring run | STAN– | VT– |
| Time leading | STAN– | VT– |
Stanford Cardinal vs Virginia Tech Hokies model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | VT win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 76% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:56 PM ET | 76% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 74% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 74% | −1 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 75% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 75% | — |
- Ratings
- VT 1523 · STAN 1415
- Home spread
- −11.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Stanford vs Virginia Tech odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Hokies at 83%, Polymarket at 85% (2 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 76%.
Prices read: Kalshi (not de-vigged); Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | STAN | VT | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 17% | 83% | · not de-vigged | |
| Polymarket | 15% | 85% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 24% | 76% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Stanford Cardinal vs Virginia Tech Hokies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Hokies a 11.5-point favorite at home, with a 76% chance to win. The model total is 55. Ratings: Hokies 1523 (62nd of 138), Cardinal 1415 (96th). The Hokies have won 3 of their last 5; the Cardinal 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Hokies won 1, the Cardinal 0.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Stanford Cardinal
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Louisville Cardinals | L 24–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs NC State Wolfpack | W 31–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 7–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 3–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | W 34–27 | – | – | matchup |
Virginia Tech Hokies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Clemson Tigers | W 20–16 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | W 34–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at California Golden Bears | L 20–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Pittsburgh Panthers | L 33–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Boston College Eagles | W 21–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia Tech Hokies at Stanford Cardinal | 31–7 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Stanford Cardinal: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Virginia Tech Hokies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cardinal– 14th · L1
- Cardinal rating1415 96th of 138, 8 games
- Hokies– 4th · W2
- Hokies rating1523 62nd of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 14th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $STAN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Stanford Cardinal bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 4th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $VT: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Virginia Tech Hokies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Stanford Cardinal at Virginia Tech Hokies
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Model: Virginia Tech 76% to win. Projected score Virginia Tech 33, Stanford 22; spread Virginia Tech −11.5, total 55. Kalshi 83%, Polymarket 85% for Virginia Tech. Stanford Cardinal at Virginia Tech Hokies, Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 AM ET.