Louisville opened with a 6-0 lead and the model has the home side at 85 percent, while the crowd picks haven't come in yet. Early days, but the Cardinals have the better of the first few minutes on the board.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Stanford Cardinal vs Louisville Cardinals: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreStanford 24, Louisville 52 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerLouisville 85%
- Pregame Projected scoreLouisville 37, Stanford 20
- Model spreadLouisville −17 total 57.5
- Margin28 projected 17
- Total76 projected 57.5
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Stanford Cardinal or Louisville Cardinals: the bandwagon
Axle 15–85Market 6–94
FinalPregame: LOU 85%Baseline: LOU 90.1% (+5.2)Big swing: 25.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| STAN | 0 | 17 | 7 | 0 | 24 |
| LOU | 7 | 17 | 21 | 7 | 52 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Stanford Cardinal at Louisville Cardinals win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for LOU over the last 5:00
Big swing25.5 ptstoward STAN at 24:44 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineLOU 90.1%game average, +5.2 points from the pregame 85.0%
Stanford Cardinal vs Louisville Cardinals live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | STAN | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | STAN351 | LOU545 |
| First downs | STAN15 | LOU22 |
| 3rd down | STAN2/16 | LOU6/11 |
| 4th down | STAN4/8 | LOU0/1 |
| Turnovers | STAN2 | LOU1 |
| Penalties-yards | STAN5-55 | LOU5-39 |
| Time of possession | STAN30:42 | LOU29:18 |
Stanford Cardinal vs Louisville Cardinals team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | STAN | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | STAN24 | LOU52 |
| Average win probability | STAN10% | LOU90% |
| Longest scoring run | STAN+10 | LOU+28 |
| Time leading | STAN8:45 | LOU46:11 |
Stanford Cardinal vs Louisville Cardinals model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET
Cardinal15%
Win chanceCardinals85%
SpreadLOU −17closing model spread
Total57.5
Moneyline+566away / −566homeaway / home
Line movementLOU win chance, 23 stored lines
+1 pts for LOU between Oct 28 and Oct 31
90%79%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | LOU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 85% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 85% | +1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 84% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 84% | — |
- Ratings
- LOU 1619 · STAN 1430
- Home spread
- −17
- Stored
- Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET · 2026-10-31 22:46 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Stanford Cardinal 24, Louisville Cardinals 52. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
CardinalCardinals
Neutrals only–
CardinalCardinals
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Cardinals–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Stanford vs Louisville odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Cardinals at 94% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 94% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 85% when last read, .
| Source | STAN | LOU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 6% | 94% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 6% | 94% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 15% | 85% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, LOU: +9Polymarket minus model, LOU: +9
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Stanford Cardinal vs Louisville Cardinals prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cardinals a 17-point favorite at home, with a 85% chance to win. The model total is 57.5. Ratings: Cardinals 1634 (26th of 138), Cardinal 1415 (96th). The Cardinals have won 3 of their last 5; the Cardinal 2 of their last 5. The two have met 1 time in Bandwagon's results history; the Cardinals won 0, the Cardinal 1.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Stanford Cardinal
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Louisville Cardinals | L 24–52 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs NC State Wolfpack | W 31–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Notre Dame Fighting Irish | L 7–58 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 3–57 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Tech Yellow Jackets | W 34–27 | – | – | matchup |
Louisville Cardinals
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Stanford Cardinal | W 52–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Syracuse Orange | W 34–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Florida State Seminoles | W 44–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| at NC State Wolfpack | L 28–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wake Forest Demon Deacons | L 27–30 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Louisville Cardinals at Stanford Cardinal | 35–38 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Stanford Cardinal: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Louisville Cardinals: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cardinal– 14th · L1
- Cardinal rating1415 96th of 138, 8 games
- Cardinals– 7th · W3
- Cardinals rating1634 26th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 14th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $STAN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $STAN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $STAN
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $STAN: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Stanford Cardinal bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak W3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $LOU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $LOU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $LOU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $LOU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Louisville Cardinals bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Stanford Cardinal at Louisville Cardinals
Sign in to post a take on $STANLOU261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Stanford 24, Louisville 52. Bandwagon's model had the Louisville at 85% and projected Louisville 37, Stanford 20; spread Louisville −17, total 57.5. Last read: Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 94% for Louisville.