Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerNevada 72%
- Projected scoreNevada 31, Northern Illinois 21
- Model spreadNevada −9.5 total 52
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Nevada Wolf Pack or Northern Illinois Huskies: the bandwagon
Axle 72–28Market 76–24
Nevada Wolf Pack at Northern Illinois Huskies win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | NEV | NIU |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NEV– | NIU– |
| Average win probability | NEV– | NIU– |
| Longest scoring run | NEV– | NIU– |
| Time leading | NEV– | NIU– |
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | NIU win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:59 AM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 28% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 28% | +2 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 26% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 27% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 26% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 27% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 26% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 27% | +1 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 26% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 26% | −1 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 27% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 27% | +1 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 26% | +5 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 21% | — |
- Ratings
- NIU 1223 · NEV 1412
- Home spread
- +9.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Nevada vs Northern Illinois odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Wolf Pack at 77%, Polymarket at 75% (2 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 72%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | NEV | NIU | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 77% | 23% | ||
| Polymarket | 75% | 25% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 72% | 28% | · model 2.0 |
Ad · Bandwagon earns a commission: Trade on Kalshi (opens a new tab). 18+. Trading carries a risk of loss. Check your state. Gambling problem? Call 1-800-GAMBLER.
Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Nevada Wolf Pack vs Northern Illinois Huskies prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Wolf Pack a 9.5-point favorite, with a 72% chance to win. The model total is 52. Ratings: Huskies 1223 (135th of 138), Wolf Pack 1412 (98th). The Huskies have won 0 of their last 5; the Wolf Pack 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UCLA Bruins | L 0–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San José State Spartans | W 28–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 17–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTEP Miners | W 30–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Air Force Falcons | L 33–36 | – | – | matchup |
Northern Illinois Huskies
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UNLV Rebels | L 24–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | L 21–56 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Wyoming Cowboys | L 23–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Air Force Falcons | L 7–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Georgia State Panthers | L 14–35 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Nevada Wolf Pack: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Northern Illinois Huskies: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wolf Pack– 7th · L1
- Wolf Pack rating1412 98th of 138, 7 games
- Huskies– 10th · L8
- Huskies rating1223 135th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $NEV: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nevada Wolf Pack bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 10th · streak L8
No stances yet today on $NIU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Northern Illinois Huskies bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Nevada Wolf Pack at Northern Illinois Huskies
Sign in to post a take on $NEVNIU261114: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
No takes on this game yet. Yours goes first.
Model: Nevada 72% to win. Projected score Nevada 31, Northern Illinois 21; spread Nevada −9.5, total 52. Kalshi 77%, Polymarket 75% for Nevada. Nevada Wolf Pack at Northern Illinois Huskies, Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET.