UCLA closed out a 27-0 win over Nevada, and the model had the Bruins at 86 percent before kickoff. The Wolf Pack never got on the board, which is the number that will stick in the conference standings talk.
FBS · · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Nevada Wolf Pack vs UCLA Bruins: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreNevada 0, UCLA 27 the projected winner won
- Pregame Projected winnerUCLA 86%
- Pregame Projected scoreUCLA 35, Nevada 17
- Model spreadUCLA −17.5 total 52
- Margin27 projected 17.5
- Total27 projected 52
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Nevada Wolf Pack or UCLA Bruins: the bandwagon
Axle 14–86Market 7–93
FinalPregame: UCLA 86%Baseline: UCLA 95.7% (+10.0)Big swing: 5.5 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NEV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| UCLA | 10 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 27 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Nevada Wolf Pack at UCLA Bruins win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable+0.0 points for UCLA over the last 5:00
Big swing5.5 ptstoward UCLA at 6:41 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineUCLA 95.7%game average, +10.0 points from the pregame 85.7%
Nevada Wolf Pack vs UCLA Bruins live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | NEV | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | NEV176 | UCLA303 |
| First downs | NEV10 | UCLA14 |
| 3rd down | NEV5/16 | UCLA5/13 |
| 4th down | NEV1/2 | UCLA0/0 |
| Turnovers | NEV4 | UCLA0 |
| Penalties-yards | NEV3-15 | UCLA4-33 |
| Time of possession | NEV30:44 | UCLA29:16 |
Nevada Wolf Pack vs UCLA Bruins team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | NEV | UCLA |
|---|---|---|
| Score | NEV0 | UCLA27 |
| Average win probability | NEV4% | UCLA96% |
| Longest scoring run | NEV+0 | UCLA+34 |
| Time leading | NEV0:00 | UCLA56:37 |
Nevada Wolf Pack vs UCLA Bruins model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET
Wolf Pack14%
Win chanceBruins86%
SpreadUCLA −17.5closing model spread
Total52
Moneyline+601away / −601homeaway / home
Line movementUCLA win chance, 24 stored lines
No move
91%80%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | UCLA win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 86% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 86% | — |
- Ratings
- UCLA 1623 · NEV 1426
- Home spread
- −17.5
- Stored
- Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET · 2026-10-31 23:21 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Nevada Wolf Pack 0, UCLA Bruins 27. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
Wolf PackBruins
Neutrals only–
Wolf PackBruins
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Bruins–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Nevada vs UCLA odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Bruins at 94% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 93% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 86% when last read, ; the two venues were 1 point apart at those reads.
| Source | NEV | UCLA | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 7% | 94% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 8% | 93% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 14% | 86% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, UCLA: +8Polymarket minus model, UCLA: +7
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Nevada Wolf Pack vs UCLA Bruins prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Bruins a 17.5-point favorite at home, with a 86% chance to win. The model total is 52. Ratings: Bruins 1637 (24th of 138), Wolf Pack 1412 (98th). The Bruins have won 5 of their last 5; the Wolf Pack 2 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Nevada Wolf Pack
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at UCLA Bruins | L 0–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San José State Spartans | W 28–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 17–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at UTEP Miners | W 30–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Air Force Falcons | L 33–36 | – | – | matchup |
UCLA Bruins
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | W 27–0 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Michigan State Spartans | W 28–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Wisconsin Badgers | W 17–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Oregon Ducks | W 17–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Maryland Terrapins | W 54–3 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Nevada Wolf Pack: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UCLA Bruins: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Wolf Pack– 7th · L1
- Wolf Pack rating1412 98th of 138, 7 games
- Bruins– 1st · W8
- Bruins rating1637 24th of 138, 8 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak L1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $NEV
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $NEV
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $NEV
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $NEV: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Nevada Wolf Pack bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 1st · streak W8
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $UCLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $UCLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $UCLA
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $UCLA: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UCLA Bruins bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Nevada Wolf Pack at UCLA Bruins
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Final: Nevada 0, UCLA 27. Bandwagon's model had the UCLA at 86% and projected UCLA 35, Nevada 17; spread UCLA −17.5, total 52. Last read: Kalshi 94%, Polymarket 93% for UCLA.