Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerTexas Tech 81%
- Projected scoreTexas Tech 37, Oklahoma State 23
- Model spreadTexas Tech −14.5 total 59.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Texas Tech Red Raiders or Oklahoma State Cowboys: the bandwagon
Axle 81–19Market 46–54
Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | TTU | OKST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | TTU– | OKST– |
| Average win probability | TTU– | OKST– |
| Longest scoring run | TTU– | OKST– |
| Time leading | TTU– | OKST– |
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | OKST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 19% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 20% | −3 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 23% | +1 |
| Oct 31, 3:32 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 22% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 22% | −2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 24% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 24% | — |
- Ratings
- OKST 1442 · TTU 1703
- Home spread
- +14.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · No venue coordinates stored for the home sidedistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather unavailable for this game · No forecast stored before kickoffforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Texas Tech vs Oklahoma State odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Red Raiders at 54%, Polymarket at 38% (16 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 81%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | TTU | OKST | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 54% | 46% | ||
| Polymarket | 38% | 62% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 81% | 19% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Texas Tech Red Raiders vs Oklahoma State Cowboys prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Red Raiders a 14.5-point favorite, with a 81% chance to win. The model total is 59.5. Ratings: Cowboys 1442 (85th of 138), Red Raiders 1703 (11th). The Cowboys have won 3 of their last 5; the Red Raiders 4 of their last 5. The two have met 3 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Cowboys won 1, the Red Raiders 2.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Texas Tech Red Raiders
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Arizona Wildcats | W 34–26 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Cincinnati Bearcats | L 24–37 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Arizona State Sun Devils | W 53–25 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Colorado Buffaloes | W 29–7 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Sam Houston Bearkats | W 49–14 | – | – | matchup |
Oklahoma State Cowboys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Iowa State Cyclones | L 49–51 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Colorado Buffaloes | W 57–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Houston Cougars | L 32–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs UCF Knights | W 42–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| at West Virginia Mountaineers | W 41–24 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State Cowboys at Texas Tech Red Raiders | 0–42 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys | 56–48 | – | – | matchup | |
| Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys | 31–41 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Texas Tech Red Raiders: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Oklahoma State Cowboys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Red Raiders– 3rd · W1
- Red Raiders rating1703 11th of 138, 7 games
- Cowboys– 7th · L1
- Cowboys rating1442 85th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 3rd · streak W1
No stances yet today on $TTU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Texas Tech Red Raiders bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 7th · streak L1
No stances yet today on $OKST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Oklahoma State Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys
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Model: Texas Tech 81% to win. Projected score Texas Tech 37, Oklahoma State 23; spread Texas Tech −14.5, total 59.5. Kalshi 54%, Polymarket 38% for Texas Tech. Texas Tech Red Raiders at Oklahoma State Cowboys, Sat, Nov 14, 12:00 AM ET.