Georgia Southern Eagles vs Georgia State Panthers prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerGeorgia Southern 65%
- Projected scoreGeorgia Southern 30, Georgia State 23
- Model spreadGeorgia Southern −6 total 53
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Georgia Southern Eagles or Georgia State Panthers: the bandwagon
Axle 65–35Market 62–38
Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State Panthers win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Georgia State Panthers live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Georgia State Panthers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | GASO | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | GASO– | GAST– |
| Average win probability | GASO– | GAST– |
| Longest scoring run | GASO– | GAST– |
| Time leading | GASO– | GAST– |
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Georgia State Panthers model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | GAST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 35% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 9:56 PM ET | 35% | −4 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 39% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 39% | −7 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 46% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 46% | −4 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 50% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 50% | −1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 51% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 51% | — |
- Ratings
- GAST 1357 · GASO 1500
- Home spread
- +6
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Georgia Southern vs Georgia State odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Eagles at 68%, Polymarket at 57% (11 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 65%.
Prices read: Kalshi (not de-vigged); Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | GASO | GAST | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 68% | 32% | · not de-vigged | |
| Polymarket | 57% | 43% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 65% | 35% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Georgia Southern Eagles vs Georgia State Panthers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Eagles a 6-point favorite, with a 65% chance to win. The model total is 53. Ratings: Panthers 1357 (118th of 138), Eagles 1500 (69th). The Panthers have won 2 of their last 5; the Eagles 3 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Panthers won 1, the Eagles 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Georgia Southern Eagles
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs App State Mountaineers | W 19–3 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Old Dominion Monarchs | W 23–15 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs James Madison Dukes | L 24–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | W 31–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Houston Cougars | L 28–42 | – | – | matchup |
Georgia State Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 20–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 32–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 22–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | W 42–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 35–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers at Georgia Southern Eagles | 24–41 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State Panthers | 38–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia State Panthers at Georgia Southern Eagles | 27–44 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State Panthers | 33–41 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Georgia Southern Eagles: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgia State Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Eagles– Sun Belt - East, 4th · W2
- Eagles rating1500 69th of 138, 7 games
- Panthers– Sun Belt - East, 5th · L3
- Panthers rating1357 118th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 4th · streak W2
No stances yet today on $GASO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia Southern Eagles bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 5th · streak L3
No stances yet today on $GAST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia State Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
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Model: Georgia Southern 65% to win. Projected score Georgia Southern 30, Georgia State 23; spread Georgia Southern −6, total 53. Kalshi 68%, Polymarket 57% for Georgia Southern. Georgia Southern Eagles at Georgia State Panthers, Sat, Nov 14, 3:30 PM ET.