Georgia State opens at home with a 67 percent model edge over Coastal Carolina, and the score is still 0-0 with 13:21 left in the first. Crowd picks haven't come in yet, so the fans are the one group without a number.
FBS · · Center Parc Stadium · every NCAA Division I FBS football line
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Georgia State Panthers: final score and how the prediction did, October 31, 2026
- Final scoreCoastal Carolina 31, Georgia State 20 the projected winner lost
- Pregame Projected winnerGeorgia State 67%
- Pregame Projected scoreGeorgia State 31, Coastal Carolina 24
- Model spreadGeorgia State −7 total 55
- Margin11 projected 7
- Total51 projected 55
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers or Georgia State Panthers: the bandwagon
Axle 33–67Market 39–61
FinalPregame: GAST 67%Baseline: GAST 33.2% (−34.0)Big swing: 22.3 ptsClutch window: none
| Team | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | T |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CCU | 0 | 17 | 14 | 0 | 31 |
| GAST | 3 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 20 |
Game clock
Final
Down & distance
Final
Possession
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Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Georgia State Panthers win probability
Bandwagon's modelBandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
MomentumStable−2.6 points for GAST over the last 5:00
Big swing22.3 ptstoward CCU at 35:27 of game time
Clutch windowNonenever within 8 points in the final quarter
BaselineGAST 33.2%game average, −34.0 points from the pregame 67.2%
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Georgia State Panthers live stats
Team totals read from the league's public game summary| Stat | CCU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Total yards | CCU375 | GAST360 |
| First downs | CCU22 | GAST19 |
| 3rd down | CCU4/13 | GAST5/15 |
| 4th down | CCU2/2 | GAST1/2 |
| Turnovers | CCU3 | GAST1 |
| Penalties-yards | CCU8-65 | GAST9-96 |
| Time of possession | CCU32:27 | GAST27:33 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Georgia State Panthers team breakdown
From the stored in-game series| Stat | CCU | GAST |
|---|---|---|
| Score | CCU31 | GAST20 |
| Average win probability | CCU67% | GAST33% |
| Longest scoring run | CCU+17 | GAST+14 |
| Time leading | CCU40:24 | GAST6:43 |
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Georgia State Panthers model odds
Bandwagon modelAxle 2.0 · updated Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET
Chanticleers33%
Win chancePanthers67%
SpreadGAST −7closing model spread
Total55
Moneyline+205away / −205homeaway / home
Line movementGAST win chance, 20 stored lines
−5 pts for GAST between Oct 28 and Oct 31
78%62%
Oct 28Oct 30Oct 31
Every stored line
| Stored | GAST win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 67% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 67% | −6 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 73% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 73% | +1 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 72% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 72% | — |
- Ratings
- GAST 1397 · CCU 1351
- Home spread
- −7
- Stored
- Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET · 2026-10-31 20:41 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Result: Coastal Carolina Chanticleers 31, Georgia State Panthers 20. The closing line above is the last one the model stored before kickoff.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · No injury list read before this gameplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones in the data, not useddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones · read Oct 29, 10:31 PM UTC
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Oct 31, 5:30 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Who ya got · no picks yet
Be the first on the bandwagon
ChanticleersPanthers
Neutrals only–
ChanticleersPanthers
Picks locked at kickoff.Bandwagon minus model, Panthers–
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Coastal Carolina vs Georgia State odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi had Panthers at 60% when last read, ; Polymarket had them at 62% when last read, ; and Axle 2.0 had them at 67% when last read, ; the two venues were 2 points apart at those reads.
| Source | CCU | GAST | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 40% | 60% | · closing price | |
| Polymarket | 38% | 62% | · closing price | |
| Bandwagon model | 33% | 67% | · model 2.0 |
Kalshi minus model, GAST: −7Polymarket minus model, GAST: −6
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers vs Georgia State Panthers prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Panthers a 7-point favorite at home, with a 67% chance to win. The model total is 55. Ratings: Panthers 1357 (118th of 138), Chanticleers 1391 (107th). The Panthers have won 2 of their last 5; the Chanticleers 2 of their last 5. The two have met 4 times in Bandwagon's results history; the Panthers won 1, the Chanticleers 3.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at Georgia State Panthers | W 31–20 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs App State Mountaineers | L 32–35 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Marshall Thundering Herd | W 27–21 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Georgia Southern Eagles | L 24–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Liberty Flames | L 17–34 | – | – | matchup |
Georgia State Panthers
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | L 20–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| at Arkansas State Red Wolves | L 32–38 | – | – | matchup | |
| at James Madison Dukes | L 22–49 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Old Dominion Monarchs | W 42–10 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 35–14 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
| Game | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia State Panthers at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 27–40 | – | – | matchup | |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Georgia State Panthers | 48–27 | – | – | matchup | |
| Georgia State Panthers at Coastal Carolina Chanticleers | 30–17 | – | – | matchup | |
| Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Georgia State Panthers | 41–24 | – | – | matchup |
Injuries
Coastal Carolina Chanticleers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
Georgia State Panthers: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Chanticleers– Sun Belt - East, 6th · W1
- Chanticleers rating1391 107th of 138, 7 games
- Panthers– Sun Belt - East, 5th · L3
- Panthers rating1357 118th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 6th · streak W1
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $CCU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $CCU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $CCU
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $CCU: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · Sun Belt - East · 5th · streak L3
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo stances yet today on $GAST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo fan stances yet today on $GAST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
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Be the first on the bandwagonNo neutral stances yet today on $GAST
▲ on –30 days: not enough history▼ off –
No stances yet today on $GAST: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Georgia State Panthers bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Coastal Carolina Chanticleers at Georgia State Panthers
Sign in to post a take on $CCUGAST261031: ▲ on the bandwagon or ▼ off it, and why.
Final: Coastal Carolina 31, Georgia State 20. Bandwagon's model had the Georgia State at 67% and projected Georgia State 31, Coastal Carolina 24; spread Georgia State −7, total 55. Last read: Kalshi 60%, Polymarket 62% for Georgia State.