Wyoming Cowboys vs UTEP Miners prediction market odds: Kalshi, Polymarket and the Bandwagon model
- Projected winnerWyoming 80%
- Projected scoreWyoming 31, UTEP 18
- Model spreadWyoming −13.5 total 48.5
- Crowd's pickno picks yet
Bandwagon Axle 2.0 · Updated
Wyoming Cowboys or UTEP Miners: the bandwagon
Axle 80–20Market 68–32
Wyoming Cowboys at UTEP Miners win probability
Bandwagon's modelThe in-game line starts when the game does; the dashed line is the model's pregame number.
Bandwagon's model, from the score, the clock and the pregame line; the crowd's pregame picks and the markets' latest price sit beside its end. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is computed
The home side's chance is the pregame model probability at kickoff. As the game goes on, the score margin counts for more and the pregame number for less, in proportion to the square root of the share of the game left, with a small adjustment for who has the ball in football and basketball. A lead late is close to certain; a tie late is close to even. It knows only the score, the clock and the pregame line: not injuries, foul trouble, field position or who is on the ice. Soccer counts a draw as half a win. Points are stored on every read of the league's public game summary while the game is on; a game read only after the final whistle is rebuilt from its scoring plays.
Wyoming Cowboys vs UTEP Miners live stats
From the league's public game summaryTeam statistics appear once the game starts.
Wyoming Cowboys vs UTEP Miners team breakdown
From the stored in-game series (none for this game)| Stat | WYO | UTEP |
|---|---|---|
| Score | WYO– | UTEP– |
| Average win probability | WYO– | UTEP– |
| Longest scoring run | WYO– | UTEP– |
| Time leading | WYO– | UTEP– |
Wyoming Cowboys vs UTEP Miners model odds
Every stored line
| Stored | UTEP win | Move |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 11:55 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 3, 5:02 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 7:55 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 2, 5:03 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 5:02 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Nov 1, 1:14 AM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:34 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:24 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 11:04 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:51 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 10:11 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 8:11 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:31 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 7:21 PM ET | 20% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:46 PM ET | 20% | −1 |
| Oct 31, 6:11 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 5:41 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 4:41 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:46 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:41 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:21 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:16 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 3:11 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 6:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 31, 2:21 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:06 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 11:01 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 30, 6:03 AM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 11:31 PM ET | 21% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 10:26 PM ET | 21% | +2 |
| Oct 29, 6:43 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 6:01 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 29, 12:50 AM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 11:19 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:51 PM ET | 19% | 0 |
| Oct 28, 10:50 PM ET | 19% | — |
- Ratings
- UTEP 1191 · WYO 1439
- Home spread
- +13.5
- Stored
- Nov 4, 5:03 AM ET · 2026-11-04 10:03 UTC
- Version
- Axle 2.0
Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
How this line is made
In NCAA Division I FBS football a line is made from the ratings and home advantage alone: a calibration layer using the other inputs did not beat rating-only out of sample here. Travel and time zones did not improve the line here; injuries and weather are collected but not yet measured.
Internal
- Ratings from results usedan Elo-style rating per team from every final score, with margin of victory · Bandwagon's stored results
- Home advantage usedthe league's home edge, none at a neutral site · Bandwagon's model constants, checked against results
- Schedule in the data, not usedrest days, back-to-back games and three games in four days · Bandwagon's stored fixtures
- Recent form in the data, not usedaverage margin over each side's last games this season · Bandwagon's stored results
External
- Injuries unavailable for this game · More than three days to kickoff; lists are used inside that windowplayers listed out or doubtful, weighted by their share of the team's playing time · Public injury lists and box scores
- Travel and time zones unavailable for this game · A previous venue or its coordinates is not storeddistance and time-zone change from each side's last game to the venue · Wikidata venue coordinates, Open-Meteo time zones
- Weather in the data, not usedforecast wind, rain and temperature around kickoff at open-air venues · Open-Meteo forecasts · read Nov 4, 8:34 PM UTC
Prediction markets and the crowd's split are shown beside the model's lines for comparison. They are not inputs. Method and record.
Who ya got: bandwagon versus model
Be the first on the bandwagon
No picks yet; the model number is the win probability beside it. Bandwagon's model, not a sportsbook line. We do not take wagers.
Wyoming vs UTEP odds on Kalshi and Polymarket
Every College football marketKalshi prices Cowboys at 69%, Polymarket at 66% (3 points apart), and Axle 2.0 gives them 80%.
Prices read: Kalshi ; Polymarket ; Axle 2.0 .
| Source | WYO | UTEP | Price read | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kalshi | 69% | 31% | ||
| Polymarket | 66% | 34% | ||
| Bandwagon model | 80% | 20% | · model 2.0 |
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Market prices from Kalshi and Polymarket, shown for analysis. Bandwagon does not take or place wagers. How this works
Wyoming Cowboys vs UTEP Miners prediction
Bandwagon's model makes the Cowboys a 13.5-point favorite, with a 80% chance to win. The model total is 48.5. Ratings: Miners 1191 (138th of 138), Cowboys 1439 (87th). The Miners have won 0 of their last 5; the Cowboys 4 of their last 5.
Written from the numbers on this page by a template; nothing here is an opinion.
Recent form
Wyoming Cowboys
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| vs Air Force Falcons | W 28–14 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Northern Illinois Huskies | W 41–23 | – | – | matchup | |
| at San José State Spartans | W 16–13 | – | – | matchup | |
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 0–28 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Hawai'i Rainbow Warriors | W 27–10 | – | – | matchup |
UTEP Miners
| Opponent | Kick (ET) | Result | Picks | Axle | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| at North Dakota State Bison | L 7–31 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs San José State Spartans | L 11–24 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Nevada Wolf Pack | L 13–30 | – | – | matchup | |
| at New Mexico Lobos | L 7–61 | – | – | matchup | |
| vs Oregon State Beavers | L 7–33 | – | – | matchup |
Head-to-head
No earlier meeting in Bandwagon's results history.
Injuries
Wyoming Cowboys: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
UTEP Miners: nobody listed as injured by the roster source
From the roster source's status flag only; no depth chart or game-time status.
Standings and ratings
All ratings- Cowboys– 4th · W3
- Cowboys rating1439 87th of 138, 7 games
- Miners– 9th · L6
- Miners rating1191 138th of 138, 7 games
NCAA Division I FBS football · 4th · streak W3
No stances yet today on $WYO: the share of the crowd ▲ on the Wyoming Cowboys bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
NCAA Division I FBS football · 9th · streak L6
No stances yet today on $UTEP: the share of the crowd ▲ on the UTEP Miners bandwagon, fans and neutrals counted apart.
Takes on Wyoming Cowboys at UTEP Miners
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Model: Wyoming 80% to win. Projected score Wyoming 31, UTEP 18; spread Wyoming −13.5, total 48.5. Kalshi 69%, Polymarket 66% for Wyoming. Wyoming Cowboys at UTEP Miners, Sat, Nov 14, 10:00 PM ET.